Hartford Great Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HFUS Stock | USD 5.36 0.36 7.20% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hartford Great Health on the next trading day is expected to be 5.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70. Hartford Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Hartford Great's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hartford Great hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hartford Great Health from the perspective of Hartford Great response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hartford Great Health on the next trading day is expected to be 5.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70. Hartford Great after-hype prediction price | USD 5.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hartford |
Hartford Great Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hartford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hartford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hartford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hartford Great Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hartford Great Health on the next trading day is expected to be 5.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hartford Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hartford Great's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hartford Great Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hartford Great | Hartford Great Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hartford Great Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hartford Great's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hartford Great's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 18.71, respectively. We have considered Hartford Great's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hartford Great pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hartford Great pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1135 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0751 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1616 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0372 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.6973 |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Great
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Great Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Great's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hartford Great After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hartford Great at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hartford Great or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hartford Great, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hartford Great Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hartford Great's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hartford Great's historical news coverage. Hartford Great's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.27 and 18.71, respectively. We have considered Hartford Great's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hartford Great is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hartford Great Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hartford Great Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hartford Great is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hartford Great backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hartford Great, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.22 | 13.35 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.36 | 5.36 | 0.00 |
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Hartford Great Hype Timeline
Hartford Great Health is currently traded for 5.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. Hartford is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 2.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hartford Great is about 24722.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.24. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Hartford Great Health had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Great to cross-verify your projections.Hartford Great Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hartford Great's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hartford Great's future price movements. Getting to know how Hartford Great's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hartford Great may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCEGF | Carclo plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.24 | |
| RDBBF | Redbubble Limited | (0.54) | 3 per month | 5.17 | 0.05 | 17.65 | (15.00) | 53.33 | |
| MNLXF | MiniLuxe Holding Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTTMF | Catena Media plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.74 | |
| ONVC | Online Vacation Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.28 | 0.04 | 12.77 | (18.42) | 84.04 | |
| MHGU | Meritage Hospitality Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.31 | (16.67) | 69.46 | |
| IFLXF | Imaflex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.31 | |
| ADBGF | Adore Beauty Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRZBF | Transat AT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.04 | (2.11) | 27.93 | |
| VNJA | Vanjia Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.58 | 0.09 | 6.84 | (7.20) | 84.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hartford Great
For every potential investor in Hartford, whether a beginner or expert, Hartford Great's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hartford Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hartford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hartford Great's price trends.Hartford Great Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hartford Great pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hartford Great could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hartford Great by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hartford Great Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hartford Great pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hartford Great shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hartford Great pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hartford Great Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.36 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.36 |
Hartford Great Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hartford Great's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hartford Great's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hartford pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.52 | |||
| Variance | 182.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 144.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (16.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hartford Great
The number of cover stories for Hartford Great depends on current market conditions and Hartford Great's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hartford Great is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hartford Great's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hartford Great Short Properties
Hartford Great's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hartford Great's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hartford Great Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hartford Great's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hartford Great's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.2 K |
Additional Tools for Hartford Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Hartford Great's price analysis, check to measure Hartford Great's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hartford Great is operating at the current time. Most of Hartford Great's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hartford Great's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hartford Great's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hartford Great to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.