Global Gas Stock Forward View
| HGAS Stock | 0.03 0.00 0.00% |
Global Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Global Gas' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) |
Using Global Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Gas from the perspective of Global Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Global Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37. Global Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Gas to cross-verify your projections. Global Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Global Gas' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 102.7 K | Current Value 197.5 K | Quarterly Volatility 416.6 K |
Global Gas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Global Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000083, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Gas Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global Gas | Global Gas Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Global Gas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global Gas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 12.77, respectively. We have considered Global Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Gas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Gas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.7106 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0061 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3732 |
Predictive Modules for Global Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global Gas After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Gas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Gas' historical news coverage. Global Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.77, respectively. We have considered Global Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Gas is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Gas Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.04 | 12.74 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 6.01 |
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Global Gas Hype Timeline
Global Gas is currently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 6.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.04%. The volatility of related hype on Global Gas is about 49000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Gas to cross-verify your projections.Global Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MDRA | Medra | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSPI | Green Star Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.47 | 0 | 22.22 | (20.00) | 52.27 | |
| REZZF | Global Battery Metals | (0.13) | 11 per month | 7.55 | 0.05 | 15.67 | (15.38) | 60.94 | |
| VOHO | Volcan Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NULGF | Nulegacy Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.53 | 0.02 | 13.33 | (10.00) | 46.88 | |
| AURWF | Aurwest Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.00 | |
| TRKUF | Tarku Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 21.62 | 0.15 | 80.00 | (63.33) | 1,476 | |
| NEWDF | Newfoundland Discovery Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.51 | 0.18 | 18.18 | (12.68) | 82.05 | |
| SSRSF | Silver Sands Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.37 | 0.14 | 25.64 | (20.45) | 84.85 | |
| VDTAF | Vendetta Mining Corp | (0.13) | 11 per month | 15.07 | 0.16 | 92.31 | (37.50) | 287.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global Gas
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Gas' price trends.Global Gas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Gas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Gas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Gas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Gas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0283 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0283 |
Global Gas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.58 | |||
| Variance | 158.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Global Gas
The number of cover stories for Global Gas depends on current market conditions and Global Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Gas Short Properties
Global Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Gas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.1 M |
Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis
When running Global Gas' price analysis, check to measure Global Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Global Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.