Hagag Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HGG Stock   2,363  56.00  2.32%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hagag Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2,363 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,685. Hagag Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hagag stock prices and determine the direction of Hagag Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hagag's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Hagag's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hagag's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hagag Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hagag hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hagag Group from the perspective of Hagag response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hagag Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2,363 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,685.

Hagag after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 2363.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hagag to cross-verify your projections.

Hagag Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hagag price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hagag using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hagag charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Hagag simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Hagag Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hagag Group prices get older.

Hagag Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hagag Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2,363 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.02, mean absolute percentage error of 5,052, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,685.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hagag Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hagag's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hagag Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HagagHagag Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hagag Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hagag's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hagag's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,360 and 2,366, respectively. We have considered Hagag's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,363
2,363
Expected Value
2,366
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hagag stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hagag stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.6381
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -5.1311
MADMean absolute deviation44.0164
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0192
SAESum of the absolute errors2685.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Hagag Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Hagag observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hagag

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hagag Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3602,3632,366
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,3132,3162,599
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hagag

For every potential investor in Hagag, whether a beginner or expert, Hagag's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hagag Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hagag. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hagag's price trends.

Hagag Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hagag stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hagag could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hagag by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hagag Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hagag's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hagag's current price.

Hagag Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hagag stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hagag shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hagag stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hagag Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hagag Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hagag's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hagag's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hagag stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Hagag Stock

Hagag financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hagag Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hagag with respect to the benefits of owning Hagag security.