Hong Yuan Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HGYN Stock | USD 0.04 0 4.35% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hong Yuan Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. Hong Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Hong Yuan's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hong Yuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hong Yuan Holding from the perspective of Hong Yuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hong Yuan Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. Hong Yuan after-hype prediction price | USD 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hong |
Hong Yuan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hong Yuan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hong Yuan Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000034, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hong Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hong Yuan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hong Yuan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hong Yuan | Hong Yuan Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hong Yuan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hong Yuan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hong Yuan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 26.97, respectively. We have considered Hong Yuan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hong Yuan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hong Yuan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.8271 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1416 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2822 |
Predictive Modules for Hong Yuan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hong Yuan Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hong Yuan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hong Yuan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hong Yuan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hong Yuan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hong Yuan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hong Yuan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hong Yuan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hong Yuan's historical news coverage. Hong Yuan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 26.97, respectively. We have considered Hong Yuan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hong Yuan is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hong Yuan Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hong Yuan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hong Yuan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hong Yuan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hong Yuan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.64 | 26.93 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.04 | 0.04 | 1.01 |
|
Hong Yuan Hype Timeline
Hong Yuan Holding is currently traded for 0.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hong is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 1.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 3.64%. The volatility of related hype on Hong Yuan is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. Net Loss for the year was (46.28 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hong Yuan to cross-verify your projections.Hong Yuan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hong Yuan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hong Yuan's future price movements. Getting to know how Hong Yuan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hong Yuan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVVH | AVVAA World Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.42 | 0.05 | 23.53 | (17.50) | 57.10 | |
| NGRC | National Graphite Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.43 | 0.13 | 33.33 | (20.00) | 118.18 | |
| AGSS | Ameriguard Security Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.39 | 0.08 | 34.86 | (26.78) | 92.13 | |
| HPIL | HPIL Holding | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FORW | Forwardly | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 16.00 | (13.51) | 59.11 | |
| MVCO | Meadow Valley Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.37 | 0.08 | 16.67 | (15.38) | 81.25 | |
| PLTYF | Plastec Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADIA | Adia Nutrition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.00 | 0.19 | 35.71 | (28.57) | 84.74 | |
| ETER | Enterra | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 161.20 | |
| ADHI | Arsenal Digital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.59 | 0.16 | 85.71 | (25.00) | 372.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hong Yuan
For every potential investor in Hong, whether a beginner or expert, Hong Yuan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hong Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hong Yuan's price trends.Hong Yuan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hong Yuan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hong Yuan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hong Yuan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hong Yuan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hong Yuan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hong Yuan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hong Yuan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hong Yuan Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hong Yuan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hong Yuan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hong Yuan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hong pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 19.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 18.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 29.4 | |||
| Variance | 864.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 642.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 353.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (31.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hong Yuan
The number of cover stories for Hong Yuan depends on current market conditions and Hong Yuan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hong Yuan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hong Yuan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Hong Pink Sheet
Hong Yuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hong Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hong with respect to the benefits of owning Hong Yuan security.