Hims Hers Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HIMS Stock  USD 31.35  6.02  23.77%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hims Hers Health on the next trading day is expected to be 28.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.53. Hims Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Hims Hers' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 2.08 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 2.97 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 145.5 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (62.1 M) in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Hims Hers Health is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Hims Hers 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hims Hers Health on the next trading day is expected to be 28.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61, mean absolute percentage error of 5.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hims Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hims Hers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hims Hers Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hims Hers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hims Hers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hims Hers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.81 and 35.28, respectively. We have considered Hims Hers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.35
28.05
Expected Value
35.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hims Hers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hims Hers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2701
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6422
MADMean absolute deviation1.6126
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0739
SAESum of the absolute errors93.53
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Hims Hers. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Hims Hers Health and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Hims Hers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hims Hers Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3332.9339.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0217.6234.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.6924.4131.13
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.1912.3013.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hims Hers

For every potential investor in Hims, whether a beginner or expert, Hims Hers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hims Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hims. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hims Hers' price trends.

Hims Hers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hims Hers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hims Hers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hims Hers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hims Hers Health Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hims Hers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hims Hers' current price.

Hims Hers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hims Hers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hims Hers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hims Hers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hims Hers Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hims Hers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hims Hers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hims Hers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hims stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Hims Stock Analysis

When running Hims Hers' price analysis, check to measure Hims Hers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hims Hers is operating at the current time. Most of Hims Hers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hims Hers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hims Hers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hims Hers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.