HK Metals Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HKMU Stock   50.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HK Metals Utama on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. HKMU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
HK Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for HK Metals Utama are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as HK Metals Utama prices get older.

HK Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HK Metals Utama on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HKMU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HK Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HK Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HK MetalsHK Metals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

HK Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HK Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HK Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered HK Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.00
50.00
Expected Value
50.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HK Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HK Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting HK Metals Utama forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent HK Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for HK Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HK Metals Utama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HK Metals

For every potential investor in HKMU, whether a beginner or expert, HK Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HKMU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HKMU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HK Metals' price trends.

HK Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HK Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HK Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HK Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HK Metals Utama Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HK Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HK Metals' current price.

HK Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HK Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HK Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HK Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HK Metals Utama entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in HKMU Stock

HK Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether HKMU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HKMU with respect to the benefits of owning HK Metals security.