Hongkong Land Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| HLH Stock | EUR 4.28 0.08 1.83% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hongkong Land Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.75. Hongkong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hongkong Land's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Hongkong Land 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hongkong Land Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hongkong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hongkong Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hongkong Land Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hongkong Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hongkong Land's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hongkong Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.43 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Hongkong Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hongkong Land stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hongkong Land stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 79.0894 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2537 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2622 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0637 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.749 |
Predictive Modules for Hongkong Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hongkong Land Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hongkong Land
For every potential investor in Hongkong, whether a beginner or expert, Hongkong Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hongkong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hongkong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hongkong Land's price trends.Hongkong Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hongkong Land stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hongkong Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hongkong Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hongkong Land Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hongkong Land's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hongkong Land's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hongkong Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hongkong Land stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hongkong Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hongkong Land stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hongkong Land Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) |
Hongkong Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hongkong Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hongkong Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hongkong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Hongkong Stock
Hongkong Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hongkong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hongkong with respect to the benefits of owning Hongkong Land security.