HELLA GmbH Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

HLKHF Stock  USD 93.78  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of HELLA GmbH Co on the next trading day is expected to be 93.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. HELLA Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HELLA GmbH's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through HELLA GmbH price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

HELLA GmbH Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of HELLA GmbH Co on the next trading day is expected to be 93.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HELLA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HELLA GmbH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HELLA GmbH Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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HELLA GmbH Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HELLA GmbH's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HELLA GmbH's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.78 and 93.78, respectively. We have considered HELLA GmbH's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
93.78
93.78
Expected Value
93.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HELLA GmbH pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HELLA GmbH pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria57.1248
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as HELLA GmbH Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for HELLA GmbH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HELLA GmbH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.7893.7893.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.7893.7893.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
93.7893.7893.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HELLA GmbH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HELLA GmbH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HELLA GmbH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HELLA GmbH.

Other Forecasting Options for HELLA GmbH

For every potential investor in HELLA, whether a beginner or expert, HELLA GmbH's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HELLA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HELLA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HELLA GmbH's price trends.

HELLA GmbH Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HELLA GmbH pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HELLA GmbH could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HELLA GmbH by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HELLA GmbH Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HELLA GmbH's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HELLA GmbH's current price.

HELLA GmbH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HELLA GmbH pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HELLA GmbH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HELLA GmbH pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify HELLA GmbH Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in HELLA Pink Sheet

HELLA GmbH financial ratios help investors to determine whether HELLA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HELLA with respect to the benefits of owning HELLA GmbH security.