Halma Plc Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

HLMAF Stock  USD 49.34  0.88  1.82%   
Halma Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Halma Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Halma Plc's share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Halma Plc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Halma Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Halma Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Halma Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Halma plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Halma Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Halma plc from the perspective of Halma Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Halma plc on the next trading day is expected to be 50.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.77.

Halma Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 49.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Halma Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Halma Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Halma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Halma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Halma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Halma Plc price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Halma Plc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Halma plc on the next trading day is expected to be 50.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Halma Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Halma Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Halma Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Halma Plc  Halma Plc Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Halma Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Halma Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Halma Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.50 and 52.69, respectively. We have considered Halma Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.34
50.09
Expected Value
52.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Halma Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Halma Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2346
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9317
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0198
SAESum of the absolute errors57.767
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Halma plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Halma Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Halma plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7549.3451.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.7840.3754.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.7448.9651.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Halma Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Halma Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Halma Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Halma plc.

Halma Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Halma Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Halma Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Halma Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Halma Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Halma Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Halma Plc's historical news coverage. Halma Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.75 and 51.93, respectively. We have considered Halma Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
49.34
49.34
After-hype Price
51.93
Upside
Halma Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Halma plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Halma Plc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Halma Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Halma Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Halma Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.59
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.34
49.34
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Halma Plc Hype Timeline

Halma plc is currently traded for 49.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Halma is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Halma Plc is about 342.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.25. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Halma Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Halma Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Halma Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Halma Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Halma Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Halma Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GPOVFGrupo Carso SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  2.90 
PITAFPoste Italiane SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  1.85  0.00  9.97 
JARLFJardine Matheson Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.13  4.72 (3.35) 17.47 
JMHLYJardine Matheson Holdings(4.25)4 per month 1.68  0.11  3.60 (3.23) 11.55 
VOSSYVossloh AG ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.99  0.00  14.39 
KPELYKeppel Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.15  2.83 (2.04) 13.68 
ACSAFACS Actividades de(4.25)5 per month 0.00  0.16  7.33  0.00  22.58 
WEICFWeichai Power Co 0.93 2 per month 2.45  0.17  6.75 (4.84) 37.32 
KPELFKeppel Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00 (0.13) 23.76 
KAJMYKajima Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.10  0.12  6.27 (3.57) 30.66 

Other Forecasting Options for Halma Plc

For every potential investor in Halma, whether a beginner or expert, Halma Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Halma Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Halma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Halma Plc's price trends.

Halma Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Halma Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Halma Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Halma Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Halma Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Halma Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Halma Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Halma Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Halma plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Halma Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Halma Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Halma Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting halma pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Halma Plc

The number of cover stories for Halma Plc depends on current market conditions and Halma Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Halma Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Halma Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Halma Pink Sheet

Halma Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Halma Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Halma with respect to the benefits of owning Halma Plc security.