Haleon Plc Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| HLN Stock | USD 10.47 0.17 1.65% |
Haleon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Haleon Plc's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Haleon Plc's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Haleon Plc fundamentals over time.
The RSI of Haleon Plc's stock price is about 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Haleon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.348 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4989 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5492 | Wall Street Target Price 11.8225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Haleon Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Haleon plc from the perspective of Haleon Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Haleon Plc using Haleon Plc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Haleon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Haleon Plc's stock price.
Haleon Plc Short Interest
An investor who is long Haleon Plc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Haleon Plc and may potentially protect profits, hedge Haleon Plc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.9126 | Short Percent 0.0045 | Short Ratio 2.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.3 M | 50 Day MA 9.9066 |
Haleon Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Haleon plc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.19.Haleon plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Haleon Plc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Haleon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Haleon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Haleon plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Haleon Plc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Haleon Plc.
Haleon Plc Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Haleon Plc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Haleon plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Haleon Plc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Haleon Plc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Haleon Plc's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Haleon plc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.19. Haleon Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 10.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haleon Plc to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Haleon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Haleon plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Haleon Plc trading at USD 10.47, that is roughly USD 0.007918 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Haleon Plc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Haleon plc options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Haleon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Haleon Plc's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Haleon Plc's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Haleon Plc stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Haleon Plc's open interest, investors have to compare it to Haleon Plc's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Haleon Plc is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Haleon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Haleon Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Haleon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Haleon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Haleon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Haleon Plc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Haleon plc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haleon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haleon Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Haleon Plc Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Haleon Plc | Haleon Plc Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Haleon Plc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Haleon Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haleon Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.02 and 11.59, respectively. We have considered Haleon Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haleon Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haleon Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7874 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1506 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.1895 |
Predictive Modules for Haleon Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haleon plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Haleon Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Haleon Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Haleon Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Haleon Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Haleon Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Haleon Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Haleon Plc's historical news coverage. Haleon Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.19 and 11.75, respectively. We have considered Haleon Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Haleon Plc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Haleon plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Haleon Plc Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Haleon Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Haleon Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Haleon Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.28 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.47 | 10.47 | 0.00 |
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Haleon Plc Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Haleon plc is traded for 10.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Haleon is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Haleon Plc is about 309.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.55. The book value of the company was currently reported as 2.44. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.91. Haleon plc last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haleon Plc to cross-verify your projections.Haleon Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Haleon Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Haleon Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Haleon Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Haleon Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TAK | Takeda Pharmaceutical Co | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.21 | 2.49 | (1.30) | 4.49 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | 0.93 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | 2.07 | 7 per month | 0.50 | 0.18 | 2.69 | (1.71) | 18.07 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 3.25 | 9 per month | 1.32 | (0.03) | 2.11 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | 10.14 | 12 per month | 1.04 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (1.73) | 6.05 | |
| HUM | Humana Inc | (12.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.79 | (6.01) | 27.31 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | 1.29 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.04 | 3.24 | (1.68) | 6.78 | |
| INSM | Insmed Inc | 1.29 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.35 | (4.15) | 32.41 | |
| ZTS | Zoetis Inc | 1.12 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.55 | (2.42) | 14.12 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | (3.87) | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.07 | 2.93 | (1.77) | 7.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Haleon Plc
For every potential investor in Haleon, whether a beginner or expert, Haleon Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haleon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haleon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haleon Plc's price trends.Haleon Plc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haleon Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haleon Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haleon Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Haleon Plc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haleon Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haleon Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haleon Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Haleon plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Haleon Plc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Haleon Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haleon Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haleon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9826 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Haleon Plc
The number of cover stories for Haleon Plc depends on current market conditions and Haleon Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Haleon Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Haleon Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Haleon Plc Short Properties
Haleon Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Haleon Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Haleon plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Haleon Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Haleon Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haleon Plc to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Haleon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Haleon Plc guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Haleon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Haleon Plc. Market participants price Haleon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Haleon Plc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.348 | Dividend Share 0.068 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Haleon plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Haleon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Haleon Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Haleon Plc's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Haleon Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Haleon Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Haleon Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Haleon Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Haleon Plc's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.