High Liner Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HLNFF Stock  USD 10.32  0.55  5.63%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of High Liner Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.06. High Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of High Liner's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for High Liner is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

High Liner Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of High Liner Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict High Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that High Liner's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

High Liner Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest High LinerHigh Liner Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

High Liner Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting High Liner's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. High Liner's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.93 and 11.71, respectively. We have considered High Liner's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.32
10.32
Expected Value
11.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of High Liner pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent High Liner pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6003
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0137
MADMean absolute deviation0.0688
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors4.06
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of High Liner Foods price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of High Liner. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for High Liner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as High Liner Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9210.3211.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.038.4311.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.139.7810.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as High Liner. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against High Liner's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, High Liner's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in High Liner Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for High Liner

For every potential investor in High, whether a beginner or expert, High Liner's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. High Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in High. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying High Liner's price trends.

High Liner Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with High Liner pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of High Liner could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing High Liner by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

High Liner Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of High Liner's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of High Liner's current price.

High Liner Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how High Liner pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading High Liner shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying High Liner pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify High Liner Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

High Liner Risk Indicators

The analysis of High Liner's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in High Liner's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting high pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in High Pink Sheet

High Liner financial ratios help investors to determine whether High Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in High with respect to the benefits of owning High Liner security.