Hongli Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HLP Stock | 0.92 0.0001 0.01% |
Hongli Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hongli Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hongli Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hongli Group fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Hongli Group's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hongli Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.377 |
Using Hongli Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hongli Group Ordinary from the perspective of Hongli Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hongli Group Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 0.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.35. Hongli Group after-hype prediction price | USD 0.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hongli Group to cross-verify your projections. Hongli Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hongli price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hongli using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hongli charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hongli Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hongli Group Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 0.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hongli Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hongli Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hongli Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hongli Group | Hongli Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hongli Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hongli Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hongli Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.85, respectively. We have considered Hongli Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hongli Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hongli Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3491 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0172 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0569 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0505 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3549 |
Predictive Modules for Hongli Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hongli Group Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hongli Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hongli Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hongli Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hongli Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hongli Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hongli Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hongli Group's historical news coverage. Hongli Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.80, respectively. We have considered Hongli Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hongli Group is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hongli Group Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hongli Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hongli Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hongli Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hongli Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 5.93 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.92 | 0.92 | 0.00 |
|
Hongli Group Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Hongli Group Ordinary is traded for 0.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Hongli is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hongli Group is about 4006.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.02. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hongli Group Ordinary had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hongli Group to cross-verify your projections.Hongli Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hongli Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hongli Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Hongli Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hongli Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACNT | Synalloy | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.20 | 4.58 | (2.17) | 10.64 | |
| FSI | Flexible Solutions International | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.44 | (4.86) | 14.68 | |
| WWR | Westwater Resources | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.82 | (11.02) | 28.86 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.13 | (8.92) | 32.18 | |
| FURY | Fury Gold Mines | 0.01 | 9 per month | 4.35 | 0.08 | 9.72 | (6.49) | 35.30 | |
| FEAM | 5E Advanced Materials | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.39 | (9.72) | 42.14 | |
| FRD | Friedman Industries Common | 1.49 | 8 per month | 3.36 | (0.01) | 5.33 | (5.84) | 16.36 | |
| NVA | Nova Minerals Limited | (0.1) | 7 per month | 10.75 | 0.02 | 11.97 | (14.47) | 47.37 | |
| KBSX | FST Corp Ordinary | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.72 | (4.03) | 12.61 | |
| NAMM | Namib Minerals Ordinary | (0.01) | 9 per month | 7.69 | 0.11 | 31.29 | (11.92) | 155.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hongli Group
For every potential investor in Hongli, whether a beginner or expert, Hongli Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hongli Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hongli. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hongli Group's price trends.Hongli Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hongli Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hongli Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hongli Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hongli Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hongli Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hongli Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hongli Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hongli Group Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.7 |
Hongli Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hongli Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hongli Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hongli stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.7 | |||
| Variance | 32.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hongli Group
The number of cover stories for Hongli Group depends on current market conditions and Hongli Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hongli Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hongli Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Hongli Group Short Properties
Hongli Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hongli Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hongli Group Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hongli Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hongli Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 909.7 K |
Additional Tools for Hongli Stock Analysis
When running Hongli Group's price analysis, check to measure Hongli Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hongli Group is operating at the current time. Most of Hongli Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hongli Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hongli Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hongli Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.