Hainan Meilan Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HMCTF Stock | USD 1.21 0.04 3.20% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hainan Meilan International on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.28. Hainan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hainan Meilan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Hainan Meilan's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hainan Meilan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hainan Meilan International from the perspective of Hainan Meilan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hainan Meilan International on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.28. Hainan Meilan after-hype prediction price | USD 1.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hainan |
Hainan Meilan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hainan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hainan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hainan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hainan Meilan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hainan Meilan International on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hainan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hainan Meilan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hainan Meilan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hainan Meilan | Hainan Meilan Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hainan Meilan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hainan Meilan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hainan Meilan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.12, respectively. We have considered Hainan Meilan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hainan Meilan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hainan Meilan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.264 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.021 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0162 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.2786 |
Predictive Modules for Hainan Meilan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hainan Meilan Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hainan Meilan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hainan Meilan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hainan Meilan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hainan Meilan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hainan Meilan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hainan Meilan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hainan Meilan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hainan Meilan's historical news coverage. Hainan Meilan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.11, respectively. We have considered Hainan Meilan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hainan Meilan is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hainan Meilan Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hainan Meilan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hainan Meilan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hainan Meilan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hainan Meilan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.21 | 1.21 | 0.00 |
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Hainan Meilan Hype Timeline
Hainan Meilan Intern is currently traded for 1.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hainan is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hainan Meilan is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.21. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hainan Meilan was currently reported as 9.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of October 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hainan Meilan to cross-verify your projections.Hainan Meilan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hainan Meilan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hainan Meilan's future price movements. Getting to know how Hainan Meilan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hainan Meilan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNNNF | Finnair Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.23 | (1.60) | 13.01 | |
| TKFHY | Tekfen Holding AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 6.58 | |
| GRDLY | Grindrod Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.78 | |
| SEMUF | Siem Industries SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.26 | |
| AIABF | AirAsia Group Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.00 | |
| CHRRF | Chorus Aviation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | (0.04) | 2.93 | (2.94) | 9.97 | |
| RYBIF | Ryobi Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.19 | |
| SLAAF | Sitios Latinoamrica SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.38 | |
| DAWIF | Daiwa Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.34 | |
| ITMPF | ITM Power Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.90 | (5.94) | 17.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hainan Meilan
For every potential investor in Hainan, whether a beginner or expert, Hainan Meilan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hainan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hainan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hainan Meilan's price trends.Hainan Meilan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hainan Meilan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hainan Meilan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hainan Meilan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hainan Meilan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hainan Meilan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hainan Meilan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hainan Meilan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hainan Meilan International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Hainan Meilan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hainan Meilan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hainan Meilan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hainan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4273 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hainan Meilan
The number of cover stories for Hainan Meilan depends on current market conditions and Hainan Meilan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hainan Meilan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hainan Meilan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Hainan Pink Sheet
Hainan Meilan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hainan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hainan with respect to the benefits of owning Hainan Meilan security.