Hemisphere Energy Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HME Stock  CAD 1.88  0.07  3.59%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hemisphere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.08. Hemisphere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Hemisphere Energy's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.96 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 7.65 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 107 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 25.7 M in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Hemisphere Energy is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Hemisphere Energy 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hemisphere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hemisphere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hemisphere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hemisphere Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hemisphere Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hemisphere Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hemisphere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.04, respectively. We have considered Hemisphere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.88
1.87
Expected Value
4.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hemisphere Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hemisphere Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.6042
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0059
MADMean absolute deviation0.0365
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Hemisphere Energy. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Hemisphere Energy and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Hemisphere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hemisphere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.974.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.212.324.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.09
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hemisphere Energy

For every potential investor in Hemisphere, whether a beginner or expert, Hemisphere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hemisphere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hemisphere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hemisphere Energy's price trends.

Hemisphere Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hemisphere Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hemisphere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hemisphere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hemisphere Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hemisphere Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hemisphere Energy's current price.

Hemisphere Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hemisphere Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hemisphere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hemisphere Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hemisphere Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hemisphere Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hemisphere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hemisphere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hemisphere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Hemisphere Stock Analysis

When running Hemisphere Energy's price analysis, check to measure Hemisphere Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hemisphere Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Hemisphere Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hemisphere Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hemisphere Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hemisphere Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.