Hemisphere Energy OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HMENF Stock  USD 1.50  0.02  1.35%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hemisphere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41. Hemisphere OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hemisphere Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Hemisphere Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Hemisphere Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hemisphere Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hemisphere Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hemisphere Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hemisphere Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hemisphere Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hemisphere Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Hemisphere Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hemisphere Energy from the perspective of Hemisphere Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hemisphere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41.

Hemisphere Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hemisphere Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Hemisphere Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hemisphere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hemisphere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hemisphere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Hemisphere Energy simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Hemisphere Energy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hemisphere Energy prices get older.

Hemisphere Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hemisphere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hemisphere OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hemisphere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hemisphere Energy OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hemisphere EnergyHemisphere Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hemisphere Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hemisphere Energy's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hemisphere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.75, respectively. We have considered Hemisphere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.50
1.50
Expected Value
3.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hemisphere Energy otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hemisphere Energy otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2436
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0232
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0159
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4135
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Hemisphere Energy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Hemisphere Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hemisphere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hemisphere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.513.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.243.49
Details

Hemisphere Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hemisphere Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hemisphere Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Hemisphere Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hemisphere Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hemisphere Energy's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hemisphere Energy's historical news coverage. Hemisphere Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 3.76, respectively. We have considered Hemisphere Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.50
1.51
After-hype Price
3.76
Upside
Hemisphere Energy is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hemisphere Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hemisphere Energy OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Hemisphere Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hemisphere Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hemisphere Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.25
  0.01 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.50
1.51
0.67 
1,406  
Notes

Hemisphere Energy Hype Timeline

Hemisphere Energy is currently traded for 1.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Hemisphere is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Hemisphere Energy is about 178.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.56. The company reported the revenue of 43.14 M. Net Income was 5.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.05 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hemisphere Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Hemisphere Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hemisphere Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hemisphere Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Hemisphere Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hemisphere Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HALHalliburton 0.25 9 per month 1.52  0.21  4.74 (3.16) 15.86 
PBAPembina Pipeline Corp 0.15 10 per month 1.27 (0.01) 1.59 (1.63) 6.67 
VGVenture Global 0.13 8 per month 4.13  0.02  6.78 (7.80) 17.61 
DVNDevon Energy(0.43)10 per month 1.64  0.1  3.91 (3.33) 9.52 
ECEcopetrol SA ADR(0.17)10 per month 1.77  0.18  3.80 (3.12) 9.91 
FTITechnipFMC PLC 0.26 10 per month 1.03  0.27  3.59 (1.94) 14.23 
CTRACoterra Energy 0.13 11 per month 1.53  0.11  2.70 (2.90) 9.69 
CQPCheniere Energy Partners 0.30 10 per month 1.14  0.07  2.36 (2.09) 7.32 
TPLTexas Pacific Land 11.97 11 per month 2.20  0.03  5.79 (3.90) 16.39 
EXEELExpand Energy 0.00 9 per month 1.76  0.03  4.97 (3.34) 13.68 

Other Forecasting Options for Hemisphere Energy

For every potential investor in Hemisphere, whether a beginner or expert, Hemisphere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hemisphere OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hemisphere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hemisphere Energy's price trends.

Hemisphere Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hemisphere Energy otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hemisphere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hemisphere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hemisphere Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hemisphere Energy otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hemisphere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hemisphere Energy otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hemisphere Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hemisphere Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hemisphere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hemisphere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hemisphere otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hemisphere Energy

The number of cover stories for Hemisphere Energy depends on current market conditions and Hemisphere Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hemisphere Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hemisphere Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Hemisphere OTC Stock

Hemisphere Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hemisphere OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hemisphere with respect to the benefits of owning Hemisphere Energy security.