Neinor Homes Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HOME Stock | EUR 19.98 0.22 1.09% |
Neinor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neinor Homes stock prices and determine the direction of Neinor Homes SLU's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Neinor Homes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Neinor Homes' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Neinor Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neinor Homes SLU from the perspective of Neinor Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Neinor Homes SLU on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.88. Neinor Homes after-hype prediction price | EUR 19.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Neinor |
Neinor Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neinor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neinor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neinor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neinor Homes Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Neinor Homes SLU on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neinor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neinor Homes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Neinor Homes Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Neinor Homes | Neinor Homes Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Neinor Homes Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Neinor Homes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neinor Homes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.90 and 21.06, respectively. We have considered Neinor Homes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neinor Homes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neinor Homes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4789 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0713 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.198 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.88 |
Predictive Modules for Neinor Homes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neinor Homes SLU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neinor Homes After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Neinor Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neinor Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Neinor Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Neinor Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Neinor Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neinor Homes' historical news coverage. Neinor Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.90 and 21.06, respectively. We have considered Neinor Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Neinor Homes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neinor Homes SLU is based on 3 months time horizon.
Neinor Homes Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neinor Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neinor Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neinor Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.98 | 19.98 | 0.00 |
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Neinor Homes Hype Timeline
Neinor Homes SLU is currently traded for 19.98on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Neinor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Neinor Homes is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.98. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Neinor Homes SLU last dividend was issued on the 19th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neinor Homes to cross-verify your projections.Neinor Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Neinor Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neinor Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Neinor Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neinor Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANA | Acciona | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.58 | (1.88) | 10.75 | |
| AENA | Aena SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.13 | 2.23 | (1.84) | 5.73 | |
| AIR | Airbus Group SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.38 | (2.26) | 7.44 | |
| VID | Vidrala SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.06 | 1.58 | (1.43) | 5.66 | |
| PHM | Pharma Mar SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.02 | 3.44 | (2.83) | 7.01 | |
| VIS | Viscofan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.08 | 1.08 | (0.94) | 4.31 | |
| ROVI | Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.19 | 2.45 | (1.54) | 7.87 | |
| AMS | Amadeus IT Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.12 | (2.80) | 8.90 | |
| CLNX | Cellnex Telecom SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 1.89 | (2.53) | 5.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Neinor Homes
For every potential investor in Neinor, whether a beginner or expert, Neinor Homes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neinor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neinor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neinor Homes' price trends.Neinor Homes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neinor Homes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neinor Homes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neinor Homes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Neinor Homes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neinor Homes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neinor Homes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neinor Homes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neinor Homes SLU entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9198.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.48) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.07 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.22) |
Neinor Homes Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neinor Homes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neinor Homes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neinor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8777 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Neinor Homes
The number of cover stories for Neinor Homes depends on current market conditions and Neinor Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neinor Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neinor Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Neinor Homes Short Properties
Neinor Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Neinor Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Neinor Homes SLU often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Neinor Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neinor Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 283.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Neinor Stock
Neinor Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neinor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neinor with respect to the benefits of owning Neinor Homes security.