L3Harris Technologies Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

HRS Stock  EUR 203.10  0.50  0.25%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of L3Harris Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 192.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 218.55. L3Harris Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of L3Harris Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
L3Harris Technologies polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for L3Harris Technologies as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

L3Harris Technologies Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of L3Harris Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 192.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.53, mean absolute percentage error of 22.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 218.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict L3Harris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that L3Harris Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

L3Harris Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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L3Harris Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting L3Harris Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. L3Harris Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 191.36 and 194.55, respectively. We have considered L3Harris Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
203.10
191.36
Downside
192.96
Expected Value
194.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of L3Harris Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent L3Harris Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0781
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors218.5501
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the L3Harris Technologies historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for L3Harris Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as L3Harris Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
201.50203.10204.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
169.00170.60223.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for L3Harris Technologies

For every potential investor in L3Harris, whether a beginner or expert, L3Harris Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. L3Harris Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in L3Harris. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying L3Harris Technologies' price trends.

L3Harris Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with L3Harris Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of L3Harris Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing L3Harris Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

L3Harris Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of L3Harris Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of L3Harris Technologies' current price.

L3Harris Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how L3Harris Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading L3Harris Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying L3Harris Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify L3Harris Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

L3Harris Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of L3Harris Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in L3Harris Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting l3harris stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in L3Harris Stock

When determining whether L3Harris Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of L3Harris Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of L3harris Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on L3harris Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of L3Harris Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in L3Harris Stock please use our How to Invest in L3Harris Technologies guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Please note, there is a significant difference between L3Harris Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if L3Harris Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, L3Harris Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.