Himalaya Shipping Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HSHP Stock   92.20  3.20  3.60%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Himalaya Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 94.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.70. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Himalaya Shipping's stock prices and determine the direction of Himalaya Shipping's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Himalaya Shipping's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. As of now, the value of RSI of Himalaya Shipping's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Himalaya Shipping, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Himalaya Shipping's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Himalaya Shipping and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Himalaya Shipping's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Himalaya Shipping, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Himalaya Shipping hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Himalaya Shipping from the perspective of Himalaya Shipping response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Himalaya Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 94.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.70.

Himalaya Shipping after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 92.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Himalaya Shipping Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Himalaya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Himalaya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Himalaya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Himalaya Shipping is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Himalaya Shipping value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Himalaya Shipping Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Himalaya Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 94.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81, mean absolute percentage error of 5.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Himalaya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Himalaya Shipping's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Himalaya Shipping Stock Forecast Pattern

Himalaya Shipping Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Himalaya Shipping's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Himalaya Shipping's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.46 and 97.02, respectively. We have considered Himalaya Shipping's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
92.20
94.74
Expected Value
97.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Himalaya Shipping stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Himalaya Shipping stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7302
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8148
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors110.702
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Himalaya Shipping. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Himalaya Shipping. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Himalaya Shipping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Himalaya Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Himalaya Shipping

For every potential investor in Himalaya, whether a beginner or expert, Himalaya Shipping's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Himalaya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Himalaya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Himalaya Shipping's price trends.

Himalaya Shipping Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Himalaya Shipping stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Himalaya Shipping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Himalaya Shipping by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Himalaya Shipping Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Himalaya Shipping's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Himalaya Shipping's current price.

Himalaya Shipping Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Himalaya Shipping stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Himalaya Shipping shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Himalaya Shipping stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Himalaya Shipping entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Himalaya Shipping Risk Indicators

The analysis of Himalaya Shipping's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Himalaya Shipping's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting himalaya stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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