Hargreaves Services Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

HSP Stock   662.00  4.00  0.61%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hargreaves Services Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 651.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 674.48. Hargreaves Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hargreaves Services stock prices and determine the direction of Hargreaves Services Plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hargreaves Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hargreaves Services' share price is approaching 40. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hargreaves Services, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hargreaves Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hargreaves Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hargreaves Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hargreaves Services Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hargreaves Services' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5325
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.5051
Wall Street Target Price
892
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.378
Using Hargreaves Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hargreaves Services Plc from the perspective of Hargreaves Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hargreaves Services Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 651.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 674.48.

Hargreaves Services after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 661.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hargreaves Services to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Hargreaves Services' Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Current Deferred Revenue is expected to grow to about 6.4 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 40.6 M.

Hargreaves Services Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hargreaves price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hargreaves using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hargreaves charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hargreaves Services price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Hargreaves Services Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hargreaves Services Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 651.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.06, mean absolute percentage error of 236.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 674.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hargreaves Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hargreaves Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hargreaves Services Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hargreaves ServicesHargreaves Services Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hargreaves Services Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hargreaves Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hargreaves Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 649.50 and 653.57, respectively. We have considered Hargreaves Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
662.00
649.50
Downside
651.53
Expected Value
653.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hargreaves Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hargreaves Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.5769
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation11.057
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0169
SAESum of the absolute errors674.4787
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Hargreaves Services Plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Hargreaves Services

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hargreaves Services Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
659.57661.61663.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
659.86661.90663.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
655.56659.33663.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.110.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hargreaves Services

For every potential investor in Hargreaves, whether a beginner or expert, Hargreaves Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hargreaves Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hargreaves. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hargreaves Services' price trends.

Hargreaves Services Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hargreaves Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hargreaves Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hargreaves Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hargreaves Services Plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hargreaves Services' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hargreaves Services' current price.

Hargreaves Services Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hargreaves Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hargreaves Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hargreaves Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hargreaves Services Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hargreaves Services Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hargreaves Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hargreaves Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hargreaves stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Hargreaves Stock

Hargreaves Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hargreaves Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hargreaves with respect to the benefits of owning Hargreaves Services security.