Hostelworld Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HSWLF Stock | USD 1.59 0.01 0.63% |
Hostelworld Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hostelworld Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hostelworld Group's share price is above 70 as of 3rd of February 2026. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Hostelworld, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hostelworld Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hostelworld Group plc from the perspective of Hostelworld Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hostelworld Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Hostelworld Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hostelworld |
Hostelworld Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hostelworld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hostelworld using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hostelworld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hostelworld Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hostelworld Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000054, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hostelworld Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hostelworld Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hostelworld Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hostelworld Group | Hostelworld Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hostelworld Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hostelworld Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hostelworld Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.17 and 2.01, respectively. We have considered Hostelworld Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hostelworld Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hostelworld Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.4492 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.001 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0015 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.09 |
Predictive Modules for Hostelworld Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hostelworld Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hostelworld Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hostelworld Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hostelworld Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hostelworld Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hostelworld Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hostelworld Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hostelworld Group's historical news coverage. Hostelworld Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.18 and 2.00, respectively. We have considered Hostelworld Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hostelworld Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hostelworld Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hostelworld Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hostelworld Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hostelworld Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hostelworld Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.59 | 1.59 | 0.00 |
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Hostelworld Group Hype Timeline
Hostelworld Group plc is currently traded for 1.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hostelworld is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 27.1%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hostelworld Group is about 1105.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.59. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hostelworld Group was currently reported as 0.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.33. Hostelworld Group plc last dividend was issued on the 16th of April 2020. The entity had 71:70 split on the 18th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hostelworld Group to cross-verify your projections.Hostelworld Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hostelworld Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hostelworld Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Hostelworld Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hostelworld Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSDMF | Gaming Realms plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.92 | |
| PBTHF | PointsBet Holdings Limited | (0.38) | 1 per month | 10.87 | 0.03 | 31.58 | (30.00) | 112.97 | |
| CNRFF | Consorcio ARA S | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.76 | |
| BHOOY | BoohooCom PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.08 | |
| HXGCF | Hexagon Composites ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.44 | (6.41) | 23.55 | |
| EXCOF | Exco Technologies Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 2.03 | (2.40) | 6.96 | |
| MDOUF | Maisons Du Monde | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GHIFF | Gamehost | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 10.33 | |
| SNGSF | Singamas Container Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NWAU | Consumer Automotive Finance | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hostelworld Group
For every potential investor in Hostelworld, whether a beginner or expert, Hostelworld Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hostelworld Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hostelworld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hostelworld Group's price trends.Hostelworld Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hostelworld Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hostelworld Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hostelworld Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hostelworld Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hostelworld Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hostelworld Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hostelworld Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hostelworld Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hostelworld Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hostelworld Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hostelworld Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hostelworld pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0966 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4056 | |||
| Variance | 0.1645 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hostelworld Group
The number of cover stories for Hostelworld Group depends on current market conditions and Hostelworld Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hostelworld Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hostelworld Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Hostelworld Pink Sheet
Hostelworld Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hostelworld Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hostelworld with respect to the benefits of owning Hostelworld Group security.