Hanlon Tactical Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Hanlon Tactical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hanlon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hanlon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hanlon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Hanlon Tactical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hanlon Tactical Dividend value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hanlon Tactical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hanlon Tactical Dividend on the next trading day is expected to be 14.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.32.

Hanlon Tactical Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hanlon Tactical mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hanlon Tactical mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hanlon Tactical Dividend. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hanlon Tactical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hanlon Tactical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanlon Tactical Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 14.10 14.81 15.52 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.01 14.72 15.43 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 14.51 14.75 14.99 Details

Hanlon Tactical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Hanlon Tactical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Hanlon Tactical Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Hanlon Tactical Hype Timeline

Hanlon Tactical Dividend is currently traded for 14.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Hanlon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hanlon Tactical is about 28.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.79. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanlon Tactical to cross-verify your projections.

Hanlon Tactical Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Hanlon Tactical

For every potential investor in Hanlon, whether a beginner or expert, Hanlon Tactical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hanlon Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hanlon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hanlon Tactical's price trends.

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