Heartland Financial Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

HTLFPDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 25.05  0.20  0.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Heartland Financial USA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.20. Heartland Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Heartland Financial price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Heartland Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Heartland Financial USA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Heartland Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Heartland Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Heartland Financial Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Heartland FinancialHeartland Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Heartland Financial preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Heartland Financial preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9173
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0852
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors5.1996
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Heartland Financial USA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Heartland Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heartland Financial USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6125.0525.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8721.3127.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.0125.2425.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Heartland Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Heartland Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Heartland Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Heartland Financial USA.

Heartland Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Heartland Financial preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Heartland Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heartland Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Heartland Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Heartland Financial preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Heartland Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Heartland Financial preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Heartland Financial USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Heartland Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Heartland Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Heartland Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting heartland preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Heartland Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Heartland Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heartland Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Heartland Preferred Stock

  0.84DB Deutsche Bank AG Normal TradingPairCorr

Moving against Heartland Preferred Stock

  0.71VABK Virginia NationalPairCorr
  0.65VBNK VersaBankPairCorr
  0.61AX Axos FinancialPairCorr
  0.6VBTX Veritex HoldingsPairCorr
  0.58EBMT Eagle Bancorp Montana Normal TradingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Heartland Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Heartland Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Heartland Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Heartland Financial USA to buy it.
The correlation of Heartland Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Heartland Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Heartland Financial USA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Heartland Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Heartland Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Heartland Financial USA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Heartland Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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