NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HTW Stock | EUR 96.00 0.50 0.52% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE on the next trading day is expected to be 93.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.93. NATIONAL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock prices and determine the direction of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
NATIONAL |
NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2025
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE on the next trading day is expected to be 93.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10, mean absolute percentage error of 9.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NATIONAL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NATIONAL HEALTHCARE | NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.12 and 95.33, respectively. We have considered NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1507 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0956 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 129.9268 |
Predictive Modules for NATIONAL HEALTHCARE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NATIONAL HEALTHCARE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NATIONAL HEALTHCARE
For every potential investor in NATIONAL, whether a beginner or expert, NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NATIONAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NATIONAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's price trends.NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NATIONAL HEALTHCARE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NATIONAL HEALTHCARE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NATIONAL HEALTHCARE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NATIONAL HEALTHCARE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 33.26 |
NATIONAL HEALTHCARE Risk Indicators
The analysis of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NATIONAL Stock
When determining whether NATIONAL HEALTHCARE offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Healthcare Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Healthcare Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NATIONAL HEALTHCARE to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NATIONAL Stock refer to our How to Trade NATIONAL Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.