Hubbell Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

HUBB Stock  USD 460.81  4.33  0.95%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubbell on the next trading day is expected to be 448.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 657.98. Hubbell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hubbell stock prices and determine the direction of Hubbell's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hubbell's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Hubbell's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.45, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.53. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 659.2 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 48.3 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Hubbell is based on an artificially constructed time series of Hubbell daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hubbell 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubbell on the next trading day is expected to be 448.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.41, mean absolute percentage error of 224.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 657.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hubbell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hubbell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hubbell Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hubbell Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hubbell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hubbell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 447.15 and 450.77, respectively. We have considered Hubbell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
460.81
447.15
Downside
448.96
Expected Value
450.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hubbell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hubbell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8221
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -6.2448
MADMean absolute deviation12.4148
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0284
SAESum of the absolute errors657.9837
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hubbell 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hubbell

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubbell. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
454.67456.48458.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
366.85368.65502.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
421.78447.46473.13
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
307.73338.17375.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hubbell. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hubbell's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hubbell's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hubbell.

Other Forecasting Options for Hubbell

For every potential investor in Hubbell, whether a beginner or expert, Hubbell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hubbell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hubbell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hubbell's price trends.

Hubbell Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hubbell stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hubbell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hubbell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hubbell Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hubbell's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hubbell's current price.

Hubbell Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hubbell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hubbell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hubbell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hubbell entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hubbell Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hubbell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hubbell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hubbell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Hubbell offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hubbell's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hubbell Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hubbell Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hubbell to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hubbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Hubbell Stock guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hubbell. If investors know Hubbell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hubbell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.095
Dividend Share
4.88
Earnings Share
13.88
Revenue Per Share
105.077
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.049
The market value of Hubbell is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hubbell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hubbell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hubbell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hubbell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hubbell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hubbell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hubbell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hubbell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.