Huhtamaki Oyj Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

HUH1V Stock  EUR 33.48  0.12  0.36%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Huhtamaki Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 34.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.31. Huhtamaki Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Huhtamaki Oyj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Huhtamaki Oyj is based on an artificially constructed time series of Huhtamaki Oyj daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Huhtamaki Oyj 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Huhtamaki Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 34.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huhtamaki Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huhtamaki Oyj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huhtamaki Oyj Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Huhtamaki OyjHuhtamaki Oyj Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Huhtamaki Oyj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huhtamaki Oyj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huhtamaki Oyj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.59 and 35.58, respectively. We have considered Huhtamaki Oyj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.48
34.09
Expected Value
35.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huhtamaki Oyj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huhtamaki Oyj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3048
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0556
MADMean absolute deviation0.7229
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors38.315
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Huhtamaki Oyj 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Huhtamaki Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huhtamaki Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huhtamaki Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.9833.4834.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.9234.4235.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.3333.4433.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Huhtamaki Oyj

For every potential investor in Huhtamaki, whether a beginner or expert, Huhtamaki Oyj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huhtamaki Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huhtamaki. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huhtamaki Oyj's price trends.

Huhtamaki Oyj Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huhtamaki Oyj stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huhtamaki Oyj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huhtamaki Oyj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huhtamaki Oyj Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Huhtamaki Oyj's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Huhtamaki Oyj's current price.

Huhtamaki Oyj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huhtamaki Oyj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huhtamaki Oyj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huhtamaki Oyj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huhtamaki Oyj entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huhtamaki Oyj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huhtamaki Oyj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huhtamaki Oyj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huhtamaki stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Huhtamaki Stock

Huhtamaki Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huhtamaki Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huhtamaki with respect to the benefits of owning Huhtamaki Oyj security.