Golden Haven Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| HVN Stock | 2,150 48.00 2.28% |
Golden |
Golden Haven 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Haven Memorial on the next trading day is expected to be 2,126 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.07, mean absolute percentage error of 5,185, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,512.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Haven's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Haven Stock Forecast Pattern
Golden Haven Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Haven's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Haven's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,123 and 2,129, respectively. We have considered Golden Haven's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Haven stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Haven stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3126 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -21.3816 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 44.0658 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0212 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2511.75 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Haven
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Haven Memorial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Golden Haven
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Haven's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Haven's price trends.Golden Haven Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Haven stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Haven could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Haven by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Haven Memorial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Haven's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Haven's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Haven Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Haven stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Haven shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Haven stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Haven Memorial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2150.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2150.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 24.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 48.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.07 |
Golden Haven Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Haven's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Haven's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.