Hawkins Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| HWKN Stock | USD 139.74 14.01 9.11% |
Hawkins Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hawkins' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hawkins' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hawkins fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hawkins' share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hawkins, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.765 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.985 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.41 | Wall Street Target Price 188 |
Using Hawkins hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hawkins from the perspective of Hawkins response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hawkins using Hawkins' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hawkins using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hawkins' stock price.
Hawkins Short Interest
An investor who is long Hawkins may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hawkins and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hawkins with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 149.0385 | Short Percent 0.0768 | Short Ratio 7.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 142.7986 |
Hawkins Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hawkins on the next trading day is expected to be 157.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.74.Hawkins Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hawkins' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hawkins. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hawkins can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hawkins. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hawkins' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hawkins.
Hawkins Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Hawkins' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hawkins stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hawkins' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hawkins stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hawkins' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hawkins on the next trading day is expected to be 157.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.74. Hawkins after-hype prediction price | USD 139.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hawkins to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hawkins contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hawkins will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Hawkins trading at USD 139.74, that is roughly USD 0.0454 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hawkins' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hawkins options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Hawkins Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hawkins' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hawkins' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hawkins stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hawkins' open interest, investors have to compare it to Hawkins' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hawkins is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hawkins. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hawkins Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hawkins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hawkins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hawkins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hawkins Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hawkins on the next trading day is expected to be 157.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24, mean absolute percentage error of 21.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hawkins Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hawkins' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hawkins Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hawkins | Hawkins Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hawkins Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hawkins' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hawkins' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 154.88 and 159.22, respectively. We have considered Hawkins' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hawkins stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hawkins stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2416 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0233 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 197.7351 |
Predictive Modules for Hawkins
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hawkins. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hawkins After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hawkins at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hawkins or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hawkins, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hawkins Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hawkins' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hawkins' historical news coverage. Hawkins' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 137.50 and 141.84, respectively. We have considered Hawkins' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hawkins is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hawkins is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hawkins Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hawkins is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hawkins backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hawkins, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.17 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
139.74 | 139.67 | 0.05 |
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Hawkins Hype Timeline
Hawkins is currently traded for 139.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Hawkins is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 139.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Hawkins is about 3238.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 139.75. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.26. Hawkins last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of March 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hawkins to cross-verify your projections.Hawkins Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hawkins' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hawkins' future price movements. Getting to know how Hawkins' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hawkins may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 6.97 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 3.03 | (2.98) | 10.75 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | (0.17) | 11 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 3.41 | (2.45) | 8.87 | |
| OLN | Olin Corporation | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.72 | (4.57) | 12.44 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | (3.73) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.48 | (2.38) | 8.23 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | (0.63) | 11 per month | 1.47 | 0.14 | 3.94 | (2.61) | 21.41 | |
| ASH | Ashland Global Holdings | (0.95) | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (2.64) | 13.67 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | (0.25) | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 6.20 | (3.06) | 11.47 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | (1.79) | 9 per month | 2.02 | 0.07 | 4.98 | (3.63) | 15.37 | |
| CC | Chemours Co | 0.99 | 9 per month | 2.77 | 0.04 | 5.97 | (4.61) | 16.17 | |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corp | 0.16 | 11 per month | 3.08 | 0.07 | 3.83 | (3.45) | 18.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hawkins
For every potential investor in Hawkins, whether a beginner or expert, Hawkins' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hawkins Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hawkins. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hawkins' price trends.Hawkins Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hawkins stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hawkins could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hawkins by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hawkins Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hawkins stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hawkins shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hawkins stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hawkins entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 139.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 139.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (14.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.77 |
Hawkins Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hawkins' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hawkins' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hawkins stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Variance | 6.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hawkins
The number of cover stories for Hawkins depends on current market conditions and Hawkins' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hawkins is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hawkins' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hawkins Short Properties
Hawkins' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hawkins' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hawkins often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hawkins' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hawkins' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hawkins to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Hawkins Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hawkins guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Will Commodity Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could Hawkins diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawkins. Market participants price Hawkins higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hawkins data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 3.95 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.135 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Hawkins using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Hawkins' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Hawkins' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawkins' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hawkins is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Hawkins' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.