Haoxin Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Haoxin Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Haoxin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Haoxin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Haoxin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Haoxin Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Haoxin Holdings Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Haoxin Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Haoxin Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.81.

Haoxin Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Haoxin Holdings Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haoxin Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haoxin Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Haoxin Holdings Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Haoxin Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Haoxin Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haoxin Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.02 0.44 36.27 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.02 0.47 36.30 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.24 0.62 0.99 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Haoxin Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Haoxin Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Haoxin Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Haoxin Holdings.

Haoxin Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Haoxin Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Haoxin Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Haoxin Holdings Hype Timeline

Haoxin Holdings is currently traded for 0.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.42. Haoxin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -10.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.54%. The volatility of related hype on Haoxin Holdings is about 13153.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.11. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Haoxin Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haoxin Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Haoxin Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Haoxin Holdings

For every potential investor in Haoxin, whether a beginner or expert, Haoxin Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haoxin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haoxin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haoxin Holdings' price trends.

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