HEXPOL AB Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HXPLF Stock | USD 8.59 1.34 13.49% |
HEXPOL Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of HEXPOL AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of HEXPOL AB's share price is approaching 34. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HEXPOL AB, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using HEXPOL AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HEXPOL AB from the perspective of HEXPOL AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HEXPOL AB on the next trading day is expected to be 8.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88. HEXPOL AB after-hype prediction price | USD 8.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HEXPOL |
HEXPOL AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HEXPOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HEXPOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze HEXPOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HEXPOL AB Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HEXPOL AB on the next trading day is expected to be 8.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HEXPOL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HEXPOL AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HEXPOL AB Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HEXPOL AB | HEXPOL AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
HEXPOL AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HEXPOL AB's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HEXPOL AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.05 and 11.13, respectively. We have considered HEXPOL AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HEXPOL AB pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HEXPOL AB pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3549 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0647 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0073 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.88 |
Predictive Modules for HEXPOL AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEXPOL AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HEXPOL AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HEXPOL AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HEXPOL AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of HEXPOL AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HEXPOL AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HEXPOL AB's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HEXPOL AB's historical news coverage. HEXPOL AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.05 and 11.13, respectively. We have considered HEXPOL AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HEXPOL AB is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HEXPOL AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
HEXPOL AB Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HEXPOL AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HEXPOL AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HEXPOL AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.59 | 8.59 | 0.00 |
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HEXPOL AB Hype Timeline
HEXPOL AB is currently traded for 8.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. HEXPOL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on HEXPOL AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.59. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of HEXPOL AB was currently reported as 2.67. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2021. HEXPOL AB had 10:1 split on the 18th of May 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HEXPOL AB to cross-verify your projections.HEXPOL AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HEXPOL AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HEXPOL AB's future price movements. Getting to know how HEXPOL AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HEXPOL AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AZLGF | Azelis Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.44 | (6.01) | 15.67 | |
| CLZNY | Clariant AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.02 | 3.74 | (2.26) | 10.29 | |
| DACHF | Daicel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (3.70) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | |
| KSANF | Kansai Paint Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.36 | |
| KPTCY | Kansai Paint Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.19 | |
| NOFCF | NOF Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZEOOY | Zeon Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLVYY | Solvay SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.46 | (3.41) | 8.99 | |
| ZEOOF | Zeon Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVYSF | Solvay SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.28 | (7.89) | 19.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for HEXPOL AB
For every potential investor in HEXPOL, whether a beginner or expert, HEXPOL AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HEXPOL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HEXPOL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HEXPOL AB's price trends.HEXPOL AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HEXPOL AB pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HEXPOL AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HEXPOL AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HEXPOL AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HEXPOL AB pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HEXPOL AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HEXPOL AB pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify HEXPOL AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HEXPOL AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of HEXPOL AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HEXPOL AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hexpol pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7773 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HEXPOL AB
The number of cover stories for HEXPOL AB depends on current market conditions and HEXPOL AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HEXPOL AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HEXPOL AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in HEXPOL Pink Sheet
HEXPOL AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether HEXPOL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HEXPOL with respect to the benefits of owning HEXPOL AB security.