Hyzon Motors Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HYZN Stock  USD 1.68  0.11  6.15%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hyzon Motors on the next trading day is expected to be 1.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.20. Hyzon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Hyzon Motors' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hyzon Motors' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hyzon Motors fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 27th of November 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 11.11, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.53. . As of the 27th of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 196.1 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to drop to about (14.7 M).
A two period moving average forecast for Hyzon Motors is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Hyzon Motors Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hyzon Motors on the next trading day is expected to be 1.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyzon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyzon Motors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyzon Motors Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hyzon MotorsHyzon Motors Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hyzon Motors Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyzon Motors' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyzon Motors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.01, respectively. We have considered Hyzon Motors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.68
1.68
Expected Value
9.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyzon Motors stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyzon Motors stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7712
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.038
MADMean absolute deviation0.12
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0568
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Hyzon Motors price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Hyzon Motors. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Hyzon Motors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyzon Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.759.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.079.34
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyzon Motors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyzon Motors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyzon Motors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyzon Motors.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyzon Motors

For every potential investor in Hyzon, whether a beginner or expert, Hyzon Motors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyzon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyzon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyzon Motors' price trends.

Hyzon Motors Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyzon Motors stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyzon Motors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyzon Motors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyzon Motors Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyzon Motors' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyzon Motors' current price.

Hyzon Motors Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyzon Motors stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyzon Motors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyzon Motors stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyzon Motors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyzon Motors Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyzon Motors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyzon Motors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyzon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hyzon Motors

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hyzon Motors position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hyzon Motors will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hyzon Stock

  0.73VC Visteon CorpPairCorr

Moving against Hyzon Stock

  0.88EVRI Everi HoldingsPairCorr
  0.79AGS PlayAGSPairCorr
  0.74HD Home DepotPairCorr
  0.7FLXS Flexsteel IndustriesPairCorr
  0.66DORM Dorman ProductsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hyzon Motors could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hyzon Motors when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hyzon Motors - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hyzon Motors to buy it.
The correlation of Hyzon Motors is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hyzon Motors moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hyzon Motors moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hyzon Motors can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Hyzon Motors is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hyzon Motors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hyzon Motors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hyzon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hyzon Motors to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Hyzon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hyzon Motors guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hyzon Motors. If investors know Hyzon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hyzon Motors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(34.43)
Revenue Per Share
2.152
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.62)
Return On Assets
(0.50)
Return On Equity
(1.33)
The market value of Hyzon Motors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hyzon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hyzon Motors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hyzon Motors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hyzon Motors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hyzon Motors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hyzon Motors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hyzon Motors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hyzon Motors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.