Voya Asia Fund Forward View

IAE Fund  USD 8.17  0.02  0.25%   
Voya Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Voya Asia stock prices and determine the direction of Voya Asia Pacific's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Voya Asia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Voya Asia's fund price is about 69. This usually indicates that the fund is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Voya, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Voya Asia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Voya Asia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Voya Asia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Voya Asia Pacific, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Voya Asia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Voya Asia Pacific from the perspective of Voya Asia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Asia Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 8.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08.

Voya Asia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Asia to cross-verify your projections.

Voya Asia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Voya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Voya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Voya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Voya Asia is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Voya Asia Pacific value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Voya Asia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Asia Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 8.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Voya Asia Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Voya Asia  Voya Asia Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Voya Asia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Voya Asia's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.13 and 9.05, respectively. We have considered Voya Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.17
8.09
Expected Value
9.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Asia fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Asia fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7836
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0504
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0771
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Voya Asia Pacific. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Voya Asia. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Voya Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Asia Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.208.169.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.078.038.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Voya Asia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Voya Asia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Voya Asia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Voya Asia Pacific.

Voya Asia After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Voya Asia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Voya Asia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Voya Asia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Voya Asia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Voya Asia's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Voya Asia's historical news coverage. Voya Asia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.20 and 9.12, respectively. We have considered Voya Asia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.17
8.16
After-hype Price
9.12
Upside
Voya Asia is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Voya Asia Pacific is based on 3 months time horizon.

Voya Asia Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Voya Asia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Voya Asia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Voya Asia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
0.96
  0.01 
  0.23 
5 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.17
8.16
0.12 
3,200  
Notes

Voya Asia Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February Voya Asia Pacific is traded for 8.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Voya is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Voya Asia is about 69.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.40. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Asia to cross-verify your projections.

Voya Asia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Voya Asia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Voya Asia's future price movements. Getting to know how Voya Asia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Voya Asia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VGIVirtus Global Multi(0.05)3 per month 0.39  0.01  0.66 (0.76) 2.22 
TRAOXT Rowe Price 0.01 1 per month 0.67  0.04  1.19 (1.27) 4.29 
HLFNXHennessy Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 1.09  0.03  1.71 (2.08) 12.15 
GLVClough Global Allocation 0.04 4 per month 0.62  0.06  1.37 (1.32) 3.91 
IHDVoya Emerging Markets(0.04)4 per month 0.66  0.11  1.61 (1.29) 3.22 
PGZPrincipal Real Estate(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.79 (0.89) 2.68 
AFJAXAllianzgi Nfj International 13.96 6 per month 0.50  0.16  1.46 (1.19) 3.00 
JLSNuveen Mortgage Opportunity 0.04 2 per month 0.28  0  0.71 (0.49) 2.42 
PGPPimco Global Stocksplus(0.06)1 per month 0.57  0.15  1.44 (0.84) 3.94 
EEAEuropean Equity Closed(0.14)4 per month 1.32  0.01  1.39 (1.12) 7.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Voya Asia

For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Asia's price trends.

Voya Asia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Asia fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Voya Asia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Asia fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Asia fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Asia Pacific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Voya Asia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Voya Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Voya Asia

The number of cover stories for Voya Asia depends on current market conditions and Voya Asia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Voya Asia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Voya Asia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Voya Fund

Voya Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Asia security.
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