IB Acquisition Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| IBAC Stock | 10.51 0.03 0.28% |
IBAC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IB Acquisition stock prices and determine the direction of IB Acquisition Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IB Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of IB Acquisition's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IB Acquisition, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IB Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IB Acquisition Corp from the perspective of IB Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IB Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82. IB Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 10.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IB Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. IB Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IBAC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IBAC using various technical indicators. When you analyze IBAC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IB Acquisition Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IB Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IBAC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IB Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IB Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
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IB Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IB Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IB Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.33 and 10.70, respectively. We have considered IB Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IB Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IB Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0138 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8159 |
Predictive Modules for IB Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IB Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IB Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IB Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IB Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IB Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IB Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IB Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IB Acquisition's historical news coverage. IB Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.32 and 10.70, respectively. We have considered IB Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IB Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IB Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
IB Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IB Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IB Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IB Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.51 | 10.51 | 0.00 |
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IB Acquisition Hype Timeline
IB Acquisition Corp is currently traded for 10.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. IBAC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on IB Acquisition is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.51. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IB Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.IB Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IB Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IB Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how IB Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IB Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCL | GCL Global Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.19 | (6.56) | 16.15 | |
| IPOD | Dune Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.39 | (0.29) | 0.88 | |
| HCMA | HCM Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FIGX | FIGX Capital Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.10 | (0.30) | 1.59 | |
| TAVI | Tavia Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.96 | |
| WLAC | Willow Lane Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.63 | (2.50) | 9.87 | |
| NTWO | Newbury Street II | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.47) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 0.86 | |
| INAC | Indigo Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.47) | 0.20 | (0.10) | 0.60 | |
| DNMXU | Dynamix III | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | (0.49) | 0.30 | (0.30) | 0.89 | |
| EGHA | EGH Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 1.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for IB Acquisition
For every potential investor in IBAC, whether a beginner or expert, IB Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IBAC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IBAC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IB Acquisition's price trends.IB Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IB Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IB Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IB Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IB Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IB Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IB Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IB Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IB Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.87 |
IB Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of IB Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IB Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ibac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1112 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1104 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1857 | |||
| Variance | 0.0345 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0988 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0122 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IB Acquisition
The number of cover stories for IB Acquisition depends on current market conditions and IB Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IB Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IB Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IB Acquisition Short Properties
IB Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when IB Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IB Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IB Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IB Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 428.7 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IB Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IB Acquisition. If investors know IBAC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IB Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of IB Acquisition Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IBAC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IB Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IB Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IB Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IB Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IB Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IB Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IB Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.