Iberdrola Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IBDRY Stock | USD 86.75 0.73 0.85% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iberdrola SA on the next trading day is expected to be 86.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.15. Iberdrola Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Iberdrola's pink sheet price is slightly above 61. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Iberdrola, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Iberdrola hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iberdrola SA from the perspective of Iberdrola response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iberdrola SA on the next trading day is expected to be 86.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.15. Iberdrola after-hype prediction price | USD 86.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Iberdrola |
Iberdrola Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Iberdrola price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iberdrola using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iberdrola charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Iberdrola Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iberdrola SA on the next trading day is expected to be 86.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iberdrola Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iberdrola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Iberdrola Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Iberdrola | Iberdrola Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Iberdrola Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Iberdrola's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iberdrola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.85 and 87.61, respectively. We have considered Iberdrola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iberdrola pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iberdrola pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4602 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1594 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5271 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.1531 |
Predictive Modules for Iberdrola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iberdrola SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Iberdrola After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Iberdrola at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Iberdrola or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Iberdrola, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Iberdrola Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Iberdrola's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Iberdrola's historical news coverage. Iberdrola's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.88 and 87.62, respectively. We have considered Iberdrola's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Iberdrola is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Iberdrola SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Iberdrola Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Iberdrola is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Iberdrola backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Iberdrola, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 0.88 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
86.75 | 86.75 | 0.00 |
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Iberdrola Hype Timeline
Iberdrola SA is currently traded for 86.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Iberdrola is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 139.68%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Iberdrola is about 322.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.79. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Iberdrola SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2023. The firm had 33:32 split on the 28th of December 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Iberdrola to cross-verify your projections.Iberdrola Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Iberdrola's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Iberdrola's future price movements. Getting to know how Iberdrola's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Iberdrola may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENLAY | ENEL Societa per | 0.94 | 4 per month | 0.98 | 0.01 | 1.46 | (1.31) | 5.59 | |
| ESOCF | Enel SpA | 0.94 | 8 per month | 1.99 | 0.04 | 4.63 | (3.38) | 10.07 | |
| FOJCY | Fortum Oyj ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.62 | 0.04 | 4.18 | (4.57) | 12.63 | |
| ENGIY | Engie SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.23 | 1.71 | (1.10) | 4.60 | |
| ENGQF | Engie SA | 0.85 | 2 per month | 1.93 | 0.11 | 4.67 | (3.64) | 10.06 | |
| ENAKF | EON SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | 0.01 | 5.67 | (6.80) | 21.06 | |
| EONGY | EON SE ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0.02) | 1.77 | (1.78) | 6.90 | |
| RWEOY | RWE AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.16 | 2.39 | (1.51) | 11.95 | |
| EDPFY | EDP Energias de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.72 | (2.37) | 7.65 | |
| RWNFF | RWE Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.12 | 2.98 | (2.62) | 10.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Iberdrola
For every potential investor in Iberdrola, whether a beginner or expert, Iberdrola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iberdrola Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iberdrola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iberdrola's price trends.Iberdrola Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iberdrola pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iberdrola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iberdrola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Iberdrola Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iberdrola pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iberdrola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iberdrola pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Iberdrola SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Iberdrola Risk Indicators
The analysis of Iberdrola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iberdrola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iberdrola pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6519 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5267 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8674 | |||
| Variance | 0.7524 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5385 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2774 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Iberdrola
The number of cover stories for Iberdrola depends on current market conditions and Iberdrola's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Iberdrola is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Iberdrola's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Iberdrola Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Iberdrola's price analysis, check to measure Iberdrola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iberdrola is operating at the current time. Most of Iberdrola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iberdrola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iberdrola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iberdrola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.