Interactive Brokers Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| IBKR Stock | USD 74.88 0.78 1.03% |
Interactive Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Interactive Brokers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Interactive Brokers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Interactive Brokers fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength indicator of Interactive Brokers' share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Interactive Brokers, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.268 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5743 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4368 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.7362 | Wall Street Target Price 80.3333 |
Using Interactive Brokers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Interactive Brokers Group from the perspective of Interactive Brokers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Interactive Brokers using Interactive Brokers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Interactive using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Interactive Brokers' stock price.
Interactive Brokers Short Interest
An investor who is long Interactive Brokers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Interactive Brokers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Interactive Brokers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 61.386 | Short Percent 0.026 | Short Ratio 3.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.8 M | 50 Day MA 67.621 |
Interactive Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Interactive Brokers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 72.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 191.76.Interactive Brokers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Interactive Brokers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Interactive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Interactive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Interactive Brokers Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Interactive Brokers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Interactive Brokers.
Interactive Brokers Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Interactive Brokers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Interactive Brokers Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Interactive Brokers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Interactive Brokers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Interactive Brokers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Interactive Brokers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 72.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 191.76. Interactive Brokers after-hype prediction price | USD 74.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Interactive | Build AI portfolio with Interactive Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Interactive contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Interactive Brokers Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Interactive Brokers trading at USD 74.88, that is roughly USD 0.0164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Interactive Brokers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Interactive Brokers Group options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Interactive Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Interactive Brokers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Interactive Brokers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Interactive Brokers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Interactive Brokers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Interactive Brokers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Interactive Brokers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Interactive. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Interactive Brokers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Interactive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Interactive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Interactive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Interactive Brokers Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Interactive Brokers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 72.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14, mean absolute percentage error of 13.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 191.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interactive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interactive Brokers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Interactive Brokers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Interactive Brokers | Interactive Brokers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Interactive Brokers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Interactive Brokers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interactive Brokers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.52 and 75.21, respectively. We have considered Interactive Brokers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interactive Brokers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interactive Brokers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7428 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.1436 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0462 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 191.7608 |
Predictive Modules for Interactive Brokers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interactive Brokers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Interactive Brokers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Interactive Brokers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Interactive Brokers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Interactive Brokers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Interactive Brokers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Interactive Brokers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Interactive Brokers' historical news coverage. Interactive Brokers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.55 and 77.23, respectively. We have considered Interactive Brokers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Interactive Brokers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interactive Brokers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Interactive Brokers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Interactive Brokers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Interactive Brokers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Interactive Brokers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.34 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
74.88 | 74.89 | 0.01 |
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Interactive Brokers Hype Timeline
Interactive Brokers is currently traded for 74.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Interactive is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 74.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Interactive Brokers is about 1671.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.89. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.23 B. Net Income was 3.41 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.74 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Interactive Brokers to cross-verify your projections.Interactive Brokers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Interactive Brokers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Interactive Brokers' future price movements. Getting to know how Interactive Brokers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Interactive Brokers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BN | Brookfield Corp | 0.70 | 9 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 2.06 | (2.39) | 9.05 | |
| HOOD | Robinhood Markets | 0.10 | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.31 | (8.61) | 19.98 | |
| CB | Chubb | (0.65) | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.11 | 1.65 | (1.87) | 5.16 | |
| IBN | ICICI Bank Limited | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.65 | (1.75) | 7.06 | |
| KKR | KKR Co LP | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.72 | (3.67) | 10.88 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.22 | 2.57 | (1.92) | 7.56 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.25 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 7.05 | |
| CME | CME Group | 1.28 | 6 per month | 1.21 | 0.07 | 1.99 | (2.07) | 5.09 | |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange | (0.02) | 16 per month | 1.18 | 0.1 | 2.00 | (1.61) | 5.98 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.28 | 8 per month | 1.35 | (0.01) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 5.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Interactive Brokers
For every potential investor in Interactive, whether a beginner or expert, Interactive Brokers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interactive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interactive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interactive Brokers' price trends.Interactive Brokers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interactive Brokers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interactive Brokers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interactive Brokers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Interactive Brokers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interactive Brokers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interactive Brokers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interactive Brokers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interactive Brokers Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Interactive Brokers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Interactive Brokers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interactive Brokers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interactive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Interactive Brokers
The number of cover stories for Interactive Brokers depends on current market conditions and Interactive Brokers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Interactive Brokers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Interactive Brokers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Interactive Brokers Short Properties
Interactive Brokers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Interactive Brokers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Interactive Brokers Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Interactive Brokers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interactive Brokers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 447.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Additional Tools for Interactive Stock Analysis
When running Interactive Brokers' price analysis, check to measure Interactive Brokers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interactive Brokers is operating at the current time. Most of Interactive Brokers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interactive Brokers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interactive Brokers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interactive Brokers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.