Integrated Business Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IBSS Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Integrated Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Integrated Business' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Integrated Business' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Integrated Business and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Integrated Business' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Integrated Business Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Integrated Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integrated Business Systems from the perspective of Integrated Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Integrated Business Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Integrated Business after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Business to cross-verify your projections.

Integrated Business Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Integrated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integrated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integrated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Integrated Business simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Integrated Business Systems are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Integrated Business prices get older.

Integrated Business Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Integrated Business Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integrated Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integrated Business' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Integrated Business Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Integrated Business Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Integrated Business' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Integrated Business' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered Integrated Business' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integrated Business pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integrated Business pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Integrated Business Systems forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Integrated Business observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Integrated Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Integrated Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Integrated Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Integrated Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Integrated Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Integrated Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Integrated Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Integrated Business' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Integrated Business' historical news coverage. Integrated Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Integrated Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Integrated Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Integrated Business is based on 3 months time horizon.

Integrated Business Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Integrated Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Integrated Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Integrated Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Integrated Business Hype Timeline

Integrated Business is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Integrated is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Integrated Business is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Integrated Business had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Business to cross-verify your projections.

Integrated Business Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Integrated Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Integrated Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Integrated Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Integrated Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRXXForecross Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GOLQGoLogiq 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  21,428 
LIQDQLiquid Holdings Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
INOWInfoNow 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RKFLRocketFuel Blockchain 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WDDDWorlds Inc(0.0001)1 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  150.00 
LFINLongFin Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WMDHWMD Holdings Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CNWTCistera Networks 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  200.00 
AELTFAdacel Technologies Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Integrated Business

For every potential investor in Integrated, whether a beginner or expert, Integrated Business' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Integrated Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Integrated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Integrated Business' price trends.

Integrated Business Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integrated Business pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integrated Business could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integrated Business by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Integrated Business Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integrated Business pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integrated Business shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integrated Business pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Integrated Business Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Integrated Business

The number of cover stories for Integrated Business depends on current market conditions and Integrated Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Integrated Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Integrated Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Integrated Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Integrated Business' price analysis, check to measure Integrated Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integrated Business is operating at the current time. Most of Integrated Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integrated Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integrated Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integrated Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.