ImmuCell Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ICCC Stock | USD 6.26 0.30 4.57% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ImmuCell on the next trading day is expected to be 6.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.23. ImmuCell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ImmuCell stock prices and determine the direction of ImmuCell's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ImmuCell's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of ImmuCell's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ImmuCell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ImmuCell from the perspective of ImmuCell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ImmuCell on the next trading day is expected to be 6.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.23. ImmuCell after-hype prediction price | USD 6.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ImmuCell to cross-verify your projections. ImmuCell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ImmuCell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ImmuCell using various technical indicators. When you analyze ImmuCell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ImmuCell Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ImmuCell on the next trading day is expected to be 6.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ImmuCell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ImmuCell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ImmuCell Stock Forecast Pattern
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ImmuCell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ImmuCell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ImmuCell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.84 and 9.87, respectively. We have considered ImmuCell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ImmuCell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ImmuCell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9192 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4464 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0811 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.2295 |
Predictive Modules for ImmuCell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ImmuCell. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ImmuCell's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ImmuCell After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ImmuCell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ImmuCell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ImmuCell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ImmuCell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ImmuCell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ImmuCell's historical news coverage. ImmuCell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.75 and 9.77, respectively. We have considered ImmuCell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ImmuCell is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ImmuCell is based on 3 months time horizon.
ImmuCell Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ImmuCell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ImmuCell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ImmuCell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.26 | 6.26 | 0.00 |
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ImmuCell Hype Timeline
ImmuCell is currently traded for 6.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. ImmuCell is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on ImmuCell is about 340.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.33. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ImmuCell has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 195.0. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:100 split on the 25th of July 1990. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ImmuCell to cross-verify your projections.ImmuCell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ImmuCell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ImmuCell's future price movements. Getting to know how ImmuCell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ImmuCell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQ | Equillium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.69 | 0.02 | 19.26 | (12.50) | 43.07 | |
| CUE | Cue Biopharma | 1.69 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 11.11 | (12.50) | 50.98 | |
| OTLK | OUTLOOK THERAPEUTICS INC | 1.69 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 11.32 | (11.11) | 73.07 | |
| COEP | Coeptis Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.44 | (6.12) | 22.14 | |
| OSTX | OS Therapies Incorporated | 1.69 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.49 | (6.84) | 16.39 | |
| NRXP | NRX Pharmaceuticals | 1.69 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.34 | (8.02) | 21.29 | |
| FBIO | Fortress Biotech | 0.18 | 12 per month | 4.09 | 0.08 | 6.63 | (6.45) | 29.21 | |
| IPSC | Century Therapeutics | 1.69 | 7 per month | 4.70 | 0.28 | 13.95 | (8.26) | 55.97 | |
| SNTI | Senti Biosciences | 1.69 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.73 | (9.50) | 53.50 | |
| GNTA | Genenta Science SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.47 | (10.45) | 39.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for ImmuCell
For every potential investor in ImmuCell, whether a beginner or expert, ImmuCell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ImmuCell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ImmuCell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ImmuCell's price trends.ImmuCell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ImmuCell stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ImmuCell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ImmuCell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ImmuCell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ImmuCell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ImmuCell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ImmuCell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ImmuCell entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ImmuCell Risk Indicators
The analysis of ImmuCell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ImmuCell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immucell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ImmuCell
The number of cover stories for ImmuCell depends on current market conditions and ImmuCell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ImmuCell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ImmuCell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ImmuCell Short Properties
ImmuCell's future price predictability will typically decrease when ImmuCell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ImmuCell often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ImmuCell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ImmuCell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ImmuCell to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade ImmuCell Stock refer to our How to Trade ImmuCell Stock guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ImmuCell. If investors know ImmuCell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ImmuCell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ImmuCell is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ImmuCell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ImmuCell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ImmuCell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ImmuCell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ImmuCell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ImmuCell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ImmuCell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ImmuCell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.