Intermediate Capital Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ICG Stock   2,054  74.00  3.48%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intermediate Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2,108 with a mean absolute deviation of 72.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,957. Intermediate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intermediate Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Intermediate Capital Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intermediate Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Intermediate Capital's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Property Plant And Equipment Net is expected to grow to about 83.2 M, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (596 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Intermediate Capital Group is based on a synthetically constructed Intermediate Capitaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Intermediate Capital 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intermediate Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2,108 with a mean absolute deviation of 72.12, mean absolute percentage error of 7,597, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,957.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intermediate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intermediate Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intermediate Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intermediate Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intermediate Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intermediate Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,106 and 2,110, respectively. We have considered Intermediate Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,054
2,108
Expected Value
2,110
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intermediate Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intermediate Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.2885
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 47.3024
MADMean absolute deviation72.1171
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0343
SAESum of the absolute errors2956.8
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Intermediate Capital 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Intermediate Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermediate Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1262,1282,130
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9131,9152,341
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
39.2141.7945.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intermediate Capital

For every potential investor in Intermediate, whether a beginner or expert, Intermediate Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intermediate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intermediate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intermediate Capital's price trends.

Intermediate Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intermediate Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intermediate Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intermediate Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intermediate Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intermediate Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intermediate Capital's current price.

Intermediate Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intermediate Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intermediate Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intermediate Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intermediate Capital Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intermediate Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intermediate Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intermediate Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intermediate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Intermediate Stock

Intermediate Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intermediate Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intermediate with respect to the benefits of owning Intermediate Capital security.