ICICI Prudential Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ICICIINFRA   92.08  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ICICI Prudential Nifty on the next trading day is expected to be 97.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.92. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ICICI Prudential's etf prices and determine the direction of ICICI Prudential Nifty's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
ICICI Prudential polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ICICI Prudential Nifty as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ICICI Prudential Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ICICI Prudential Nifty on the next trading day is expected to be 97.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.93, mean absolute percentage error of 14.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICICI Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICICI Prudential's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ICICI Prudential Etf Forecast Pattern

ICICI Prudential Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ICICI Prudential's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ICICI Prudential's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.91 and 100.37, respectively. We have considered ICICI Prudential's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
92.08
97.14
Expected Value
100.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICICI Prudential etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICICI Prudential etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.795
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9331
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors178.9161
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ICICI Prudential historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ICICI Prudential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICICI Prudential Nifty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for ICICI Prudential

For every potential investor in ICICI, whether a beginner or expert, ICICI Prudential's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ICICI Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ICICI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ICICI Prudential's price trends.

ICICI Prudential Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICICI Prudential etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICICI Prudential could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICICI Prudential by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ICICI Prudential Nifty Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ICICI Prudential's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ICICI Prudential's current price.

ICICI Prudential Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICICI Prudential etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICICI Prudential shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICICI Prudential etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ICICI Prudential Nifty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ICICI Prudential Risk Indicators

The analysis of ICICI Prudential's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICICI Prudential's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icici etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.