International Container Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ICT Stock | 660.00 2.00 0.30% |
International Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast International Container stock prices and determine the direction of International Container Terminal's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of International Container's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of International Container's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using International Container hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Container Terminal from the perspective of International Container response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Container Terminal on the next trading day is expected to be 660.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 718.42. International Container after-hype prediction price | PHP 660.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International |
International Container Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
International Container Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Container Terminal on the next trading day is expected to be 660.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.97, mean absolute percentage error of 234.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 718.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Container's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Container Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest International Container | International Container Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
International Container Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Container's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Container's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 657.76 and 663.05, respectively. We have considered International Container's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Container stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Container stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.3323 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.9736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 718.419 |
Predictive Modules for International Container
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Container. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Container After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Container at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Container or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Container, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Container Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Container's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Container's historical news coverage. International Container's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 657.36 and 662.64, respectively. We have considered International Container's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Container is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Container is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Container Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Container is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Container backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Container, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
660.00 | 660.00 | 0.00 |
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International Container Hype Timeline
International Container is currently traded for 660.00on Philippine Stock Exchange of Philippines. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. International is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on International Container is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 660.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Container to cross-verify your projections.International Container Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Container's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Container's future price movements. Getting to know how International Container's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Container may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TBGI | Transpacific Broadband Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.69 | (7.14) | 15.38 | |
| APX | Apex Mining Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.12 | 0.17 | 8.26 | (3.91) | 30.07 | |
| PX | Philex Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.08 | 0.10 | 7.36 | (3.93) | 24.27 | |
| CROWN | Crown Asia Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.01 | 1.86 | (1.83) | 6.50 | |
| FCG | Figaro Coffee Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.01 | 3.39 | (3.33) | 7.21 | |
| LC | Lepanto Consolidated Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.98 | 0.02 | 5.88 | (5.56) | 25.40 | |
| SCC | Semirara Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.92 | (1.90) | 6.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for International Container
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Container's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Container's price trends.International Container Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Container stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Container could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Container by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Container Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Container stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Container shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Container stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Container Terminal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
International Container Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Container's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Container's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for International Container
The number of cover stories for International Container depends on current market conditions and International Container's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Container is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Container's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International Container Short Properties
International Container's future price predictability will typically decrease when International Container's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Container Terminal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Container's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Container's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 234.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 657.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in International Stock
International Container financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Container security.