Identillect Technologies Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ID Stock | CAD 0.10 0.01 9.09% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Identillect Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Identillect Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Identillect Technologies' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Identillect Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Identillect Technologies Corp from the perspective of Identillect Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Identillect Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Identillect Technologies after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Identillect |
Identillect Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Identillect price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Identillect using various technical indicators. When you analyze Identillect charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Identillect Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Identillect Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000061, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Identillect Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Identillect Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Identillect Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Identillect Technologies | Identillect Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Identillect Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Identillect Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Identillect Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.94, respectively. We have considered Identillect Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Identillect Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Identillect Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.4136 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.001 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0031 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0253 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.19 |
Predictive Modules for Identillect Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Identillect Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Identillect Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Identillect Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Identillect Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Identillect Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Identillect Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Identillect Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Identillect Technologies' historical news coverage. Identillect Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.88, respectively. We have considered Identillect Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Identillect Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Identillect Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Identillect Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Identillect Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Identillect Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Identillect Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 5.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
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Identillect Technologies Hype Timeline
Identillect Technologies is currently traded for 0.10on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Identillect is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on Identillect Technologies is about 350400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.10. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Identillect Technologies had 1:30 split on the 3rd of October 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Identillect Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Identillect Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Identillect Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Identillect Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Identillect Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Identillect Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWA | Sarama Resource | 0.00 | 5 per month | 5.01 | 0.05 | 12.50 | (11.11) | 29.17 | |
| VRY | Petro Victory Energy Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.49 | (6.56) | 45.70 | |
| TGO | TeraGo Inc | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.89 | (6.15) | 18.04 | |
| ETG | Entree Resources | 0.04 | 6 per month | 1.95 | 0.13 | 7.59 | (3.19) | 23.86 | |
| SBR | Silver Bear Resources | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HWO | High Arctic Energy | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.99 | (0.02) | 4.76 | (4.44) | 12.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Identillect Technologies
For every potential investor in Identillect, whether a beginner or expert, Identillect Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Identillect Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Identillect. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Identillect Technologies' price trends.Identillect Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Identillect Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Identillect Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Identillect Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Identillect Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Identillect Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Identillect Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Identillect Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Identillect Technologies Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Identillect Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Identillect Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Identillect Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting identillect stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.87 | |||
| Variance | 34.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Identillect Technologies
The number of cover stories for Identillect Technologies depends on current market conditions and Identillect Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Identillect Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Identillect Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Identillect Stock Analysis
When running Identillect Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Identillect Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Identillect Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Identillect Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Identillect Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Identillect Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Identillect Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.