Aeon Ventures Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IDEA Stock | USD 0.02 0 6.25% |
Aeon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aeon Ventures stock prices and determine the direction of Aeon Ventures's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aeon Ventures' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Aeon Ventures' share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aeon Ventures, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aeon Ventures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aeon Ventures from the perspective of Aeon Ventures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aeon Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Aeon Ventures after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aeon |
Aeon Ventures Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aeon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aeon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aeon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aeon Ventures Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aeon Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000988, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aeon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aeon Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aeon Ventures Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aeon Ventures | Aeon Ventures Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aeon Ventures Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aeon Ventures' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aeon Ventures' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 16.26, respectively. We have considered Aeon Ventures' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aeon Ventures pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aeon Ventures pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.7478 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0499 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0578 |
Predictive Modules for Aeon Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeon Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aeon Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aeon Ventures After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aeon Ventures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aeon Ventures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Aeon Ventures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aeon Ventures Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aeon Ventures' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aeon Ventures' historical news coverage. Aeon Ventures' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 16.27, respectively. We have considered Aeon Ventures' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aeon Ventures is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aeon Ventures is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aeon Ventures Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aeon Ventures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aeon Ventures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aeon Ventures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 16.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 17.65 |
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Aeon Ventures Hype Timeline
Aeon Ventures is currently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aeon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 17.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Aeon Ventures is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. Aeon Ventures currently holds 166.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.16, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Aeon Ventures has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aeon Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aeon Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aeon Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aeon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aeon Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aeon Ventures to cross-verify your projections.Aeon Ventures Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aeon Ventures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aeon Ventures' future price movements. Getting to know how Aeon Ventures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aeon Ventures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVFZF | Invictus Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.03 | |
| GLAE | Glassbridge Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.67 | |
| JMON | James Monroe Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QYBX | Qian Yuan Baixing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.93 | 0.03 | 16.67 | (20.59) | 117.36 | |
| LICH | LiveChain | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.36 | 0.12 | 36.36 | (26.67) | 169.60 | |
| MGHL | Morgan Group Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.98 | |
| MNDP | Mundus Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.57 | |
| FKST | Flowerkist Skin Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 13.64 | 0.00 | 464.17 | |
| ILUS | Ilustrato Pictures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.42 | 0.01 | 33.33 | (33.33) | 100.00 | |
| GNCNF | Gencan Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aeon Ventures
For every potential investor in Aeon, whether a beginner or expert, Aeon Ventures' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aeon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aeon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aeon Ventures' price trends.Aeon Ventures Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aeon Ventures pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aeon Ventures could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aeon Ventures by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aeon Ventures Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aeon Ventures pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aeon Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aeon Ventures pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Aeon Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.017 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.017 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.001 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.54 |
Aeon Ventures Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aeon Ventures' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aeon Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aeon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.25 | |||
| Variance | 263.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 921.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 83.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (36.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aeon Ventures
The number of cover stories for Aeon Ventures depends on current market conditions and Aeon Ventures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aeon Ventures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aeon Ventures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aeon Ventures Short Properties
Aeon Ventures' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aeon Ventures' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aeon Ventures often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aeon Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeon Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.2 K |
Other Information on Investing in Aeon Pink Sheet
Aeon Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aeon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aeon with respect to the benefits of owning Aeon Ventures security.