Industria Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

IDEXF Stock  USD 54.35  0.26  0.48%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Industria de Diseo on the next trading day is expected to be 56.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.37. Industria Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Industria's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Industria price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Industria Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Industria de Diseo on the next trading day is expected to be 56.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81, mean absolute percentage error of 4.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Industria Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Industria's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Industria Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Industria Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Industria's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Industria's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.41 and 58.98, respectively. We have considered Industria's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.35
56.70
Expected Value
58.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Industria pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Industria pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8094
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0329
SAESum of the absolute errors110.372
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Industria de Diseo historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Industria

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industria de Diseo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Industria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0654.3556.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.5945.8859.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
52.0955.7959.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Industria

For every potential investor in Industria, whether a beginner or expert, Industria's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Industria Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Industria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Industria's price trends.

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Industria de Diseo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Industria's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Industria's current price.

Industria Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Industria pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Industria shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Industria pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Industria de Diseo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Industria Risk Indicators

The analysis of Industria's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Industria's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting industria pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Industria Pink Sheet

Industria financial ratios help investors to determine whether Industria Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Industria with respect to the benefits of owning Industria security.