IDI SCA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IDIP Stock | EUR 72.80 0.20 0.28% |
IDI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IDI SCA stock prices and determine the direction of IDI SCA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IDI SCA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of IDI SCA's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling IDI, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.595 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.71 | Wall Street Target Price 79.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.153 |
Using IDI SCA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IDI SCA from the perspective of IDI SCA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDI SCA on the next trading day is expected to be 72.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.80. IDI SCA after-hype prediction price | EUR 72.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IDI |
IDI SCA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IDI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IDI using various technical indicators. When you analyze IDI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IDI SCA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDI SCA on the next trading day is expected to be 72.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IDI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IDI SCA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IDI SCA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IDI SCA | IDI SCA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IDI SCA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IDI SCA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IDI SCA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.90 and 73.70, respectively. We have considered IDI SCA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IDI SCA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IDI SCA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3875 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0967 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4633 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.8 |
Predictive Modules for IDI SCA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDI SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IDI SCA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IDI SCA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IDI SCA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IDI SCA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IDI SCA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IDI SCA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IDI SCA's historical news coverage. IDI SCA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.90 and 73.70, respectively. We have considered IDI SCA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IDI SCA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IDI SCA is based on 3 months time horizon.
IDI SCA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IDI SCA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IDI SCA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IDI SCA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.80 | 72.80 | 0.00 |
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IDI SCA Hype Timeline
IDI SCA is currently traded for 72.80on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. IDI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on IDI SCA is about 957.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.79. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. IDI SCA last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. The entity had 19:1 split on the 6th of July 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IDI SCA to cross-verify your projections.IDI SCA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IDI SCA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IDI SCA's future price movements. Getting to know how IDI SCA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IDI SCA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABCA | ABC arbitrage SA | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.85 | (0.01) | 1.62 | (1.30) | 4.21 | |
| CRBP2 | Caisse Regionale de | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.48 | (0.05) | 2.00 | (2.37) | 5.47 | |
| MLIRF | Innovative Rfk SpA | (0.24) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 30.97 | |
| ALAUD | Audacia SAS | (0.06) | 1 per month | 4.54 | 0.04 | 9.56 | (9.31) | 38.85 | |
| LTA | Altamir SCA | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.56 | 0.01 | 2.80 | (1.31) | 5.40 | |
| ALMEX | Airtime Partecipazioni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.48 | (11.49) | 45.68 | |
| BSD | Bourse Direct SA | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.96 | 0.15 | 2.56 | (1.67) | 12.90 | |
| ALBON | Compagnie Lebon SA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 1.05 | 0.05 | 2.00 | (1.68) | 8.37 | |
| CIV | Caisse Regionale de | (0.74) | 1 per month | 1.52 | 0.01 | 2.96 | (3.00) | 9.27 | |
| EEM | Electricite et Eaux | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.33 | (8.39) | 24.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for IDI SCA
For every potential investor in IDI, whether a beginner or expert, IDI SCA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IDI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IDI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IDI SCA's price trends.IDI SCA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IDI SCA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IDI SCA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IDI SCA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IDI SCA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IDI SCA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IDI SCA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IDI SCA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IDI SCA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IDI SCA Risk Indicators
The analysis of IDI SCA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IDI SCA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting idi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6639 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6454 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9082 | |||
| Variance | 0.8249 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7934 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4166 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IDI SCA
The number of cover stories for IDI SCA depends on current market conditions and IDI SCA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IDI SCA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IDI SCA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IDI SCA Short Properties
IDI SCA's future price predictability will typically decrease when IDI SCA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IDI SCA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IDI SCA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDI SCA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 143.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in IDI Stock
IDI SCA financial ratios help investors to determine whether IDI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IDI with respect to the benefits of owning IDI SCA security.