Ivanhoe Electric Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

IE Stock  USD 13.90  0.18  1.31%   
Ivanhoe Electric's 8 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Ivanhoe Electric at 13.28 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 8 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
The eight-period moving average forecast for Ivanhoe Electric replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that value and the eight preceding observations. This wider window produces a smoother series that filters out short-term volatility.

8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Ivanhoe Electric at 13.28 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.08 , and sum of absolute errors of 60.01 .
This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in Ivanhoe Electric's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for Ivanhoe Electric defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 8.83 on the downside to about 17.74 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
13.90
13.28
Expected Value
17.74

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Ivanhoe Electric stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.686
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1645
MADMean absolute deviation1.1113
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0837
SAESum of the absolute errors60.01
The eight-period window effectively dampens daily peaks and troughs in Ivanhoe Electric price data, making the underlying trend more visible. However, the model can only be used reliably for one or two periods ahead. A flat forecast line in a trending market indicates the smoothing window is too wide for the current price dynamics.

Other Forecasting Options for Ivanhoe Electric

Analyzing Ivanhoe Electric's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Ivanhoe Electric's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.

Ivanhoe Electric Related Equities

These firms work in a similar space as Ivanhoe Electric within the Materials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ivanhoe Electric Market Strength Events

For investors tracking Ivanhoe Electric, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Ivanhoe Electric.

Ivanhoe Electric Risk Indicators

Analyzing Ivanhoe Electric's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for ivanhoe electric stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Ivanhoe Electric.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ivanhoe Electric Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Ivanhoe Electric matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133.58 million
Cash And Short Term Investments176.27 million