IFAN Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IFAN Stock  USD 0.0003  0.0001  50.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IFAN Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000037 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. IFAN Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
IFAN Financial simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for IFAN Financial are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as IFAN Financial prices get older.

IFAN Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IFAN Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000037, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IFAN Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IFAN Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IFAN Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest IFAN FinancialIFAN Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IFAN Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IFAN Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IFAN Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 71.14, respectively. We have considered IFAN Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0003
0.000003
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
71.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IFAN Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IFAN Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.9165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2333
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0022
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting IFAN Financial forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IFAN Financial observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IFAN Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IFAN Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000350.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000350.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IFAN Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IFAN Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IFAN Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IFAN Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for IFAN Financial

For every potential investor in IFAN, whether a beginner or expert, IFAN Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IFAN Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IFAN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IFAN Financial's price trends.

IFAN Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IFAN Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IFAN Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IFAN Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IFAN Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IFAN Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IFAN Financial's current price.

IFAN Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IFAN Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IFAN Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IFAN Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify IFAN Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IFAN Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of IFAN Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IFAN Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ifan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with IFAN Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if IFAN Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IFAN Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to IFAN Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace IFAN Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back IFAN Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling IFAN Financial to buy it.
The correlation of IFAN Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as IFAN Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if IFAN Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for IFAN Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in IFAN Pink Sheet

IFAN Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether IFAN Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IFAN with respect to the benefits of owning IFAN Financial security.