ETRACS IFED Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| IFED Etf | USD 45.75 0.25 0.54% |
ETRACS Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ETRACS IFED stock prices and determine the direction of ETRACS IFED Invest's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ETRACS IFED's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of ETRACS IFED's share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ETRACS IFED, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ETRACS IFED hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ETRACS IFED Invest from the perspective of ETRACS IFED response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ETRACS IFED Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 46.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.08. ETRACS IFED after-hype prediction price | USD 45.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETRACS IFED to cross-verify your projections. ETRACS IFED Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ETRACS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ETRACS using various technical indicators. When you analyze ETRACS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ETRACS IFED Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ETRACS IFED Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 46.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETRACS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETRACS IFED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ETRACS IFED Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ETRACS IFED | ETRACS IFED Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ETRACS IFED Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ETRACS IFED's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ETRACS IFED's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.47 and 47.27, respectively. We have considered ETRACS IFED's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETRACS IFED etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETRACS IFED etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9644 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4439 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.0788 |
Predictive Modules for ETRACS IFED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETRACS IFED Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ETRACS IFED's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ETRACS IFED After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ETRACS IFED at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ETRACS IFED or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ETRACS IFED, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ETRACS IFED Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ETRACS IFED's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ETRACS IFED's historical news coverage. ETRACS IFED's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.85 and 46.65, respectively. We have considered ETRACS IFED's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ETRACS IFED is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETRACS IFED Invest is based on 3 months time horizon.
ETRACS IFED Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ETRACS IFED is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ETRACS IFED backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ETRACS IFED, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.75 | 45.75 | 0.00 |
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ETRACS IFED Hype Timeline
ETRACS IFED Invest is currently traded for 45.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ETRACS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on ETRACS IFED is about 4090.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETRACS IFED to cross-verify your projections.ETRACS IFED Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ETRACS IFED's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ETRACS IFED's future price movements. Getting to know how ETRACS IFED's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ETRACS IFED may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SETM | Sprott Energy Transition | (0.12) | 1 per month | 2.04 | 0.24 | 4.18 | (4.58) | 11.59 | |
| KARS | KraneShares Electric Vehicles | 0.13 | 2 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 2.44 | (1.78) | 6.57 | |
| TSEL | Touchstone Sands Capital | (0.11) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.75 | (2.65) | 5.47 | |
| AIFD | TCW Artificial Intelligence | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 2.37 | (3.16) | 9.28 | |
| FLAU | Franklin FTSE Australia | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.70 | 0.02 | 1.46 | (1.24) | 3.41 | |
| CANC | Tema Oncology ETF | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 2.70 | (1.76) | 7.14 | |
| QLTI | The 2023 ETF | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.73 | (0.03) | 1.27 | (1.32) | 3.16 | |
| BATT | Amplify Lithium Battery | (0.16) | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.18 | 2.86 | (1.92) | 6.94 | |
| AOTG | AOT Growth and | 0.06 | 1 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 2.02 | (2.91) | 6.59 | |
| RCGE | RockCreek Global Equality | (0.16) | 1 per month | 0.54 | 0 | 1.02 | (1.08) | 3.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for ETRACS IFED
For every potential investor in ETRACS, whether a beginner or expert, ETRACS IFED's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ETRACS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ETRACS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ETRACS IFED's price trends.ETRACS IFED Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETRACS IFED etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETRACS IFED could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETRACS IFED by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ETRACS IFED Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETRACS IFED etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETRACS IFED shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETRACS IFED etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETRACS IFED Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 45.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.8 |
ETRACS IFED Risk Indicators
The analysis of ETRACS IFED's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETRACS IFED's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etracs etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6396 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8888 | |||
| Variance | 0.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ETRACS IFED
The number of cover stories for ETRACS IFED depends on current market conditions and ETRACS IFED's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ETRACS IFED is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ETRACS IFED's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETRACS IFED to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Investors evaluate ETRACS IFED Invest using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ETRACS IFED's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ETRACS IFED's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETRACS IFED's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETRACS IFED is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, ETRACS IFED's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.