InflaRx NV Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IFRX Stock  USD 1.07  0.07  7.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of InflaRx NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88. InflaRx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of InflaRx NV's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of InflaRx NV's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with InflaRx NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting InflaRx NV's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.14)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.68)
Wall Street Target Price
10.2879
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.12)
Using InflaRx NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of InflaRx NV from the perspective of InflaRx NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards InflaRx NV using InflaRx NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards InflaRx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of InflaRx NV's stock price.

InflaRx NV Short Interest

An investor who is long InflaRx NV may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about InflaRx NV and may potentially protect profits, hedge InflaRx NV with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.1581
Short Percent
0.0428
Short Ratio
3.48
Shares Short Prior Month
2.7 M
50 Day MA
1.1533

InflaRx NV Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to InflaRx NV's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in InflaRx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding InflaRx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around InflaRx NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of InflaRx NV's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about InflaRx NV.

InflaRx NV Implied Volatility

    
  2.59  
InflaRx NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of InflaRx NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if InflaRx NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that InflaRx NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when InflaRx NV's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of InflaRx NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.

InflaRx NV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InflaRx NV to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy InflaRx Stock please use our How to Invest in InflaRx NV guide.At this time, InflaRx NV's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 0.92 in 2026, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.54 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 36.8 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (43.1 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 InflaRx Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast InflaRx NV's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in InflaRx NV's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for InflaRx NV stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current InflaRx NV's open interest, investors have to compare it to InflaRx NV's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of InflaRx NV is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in InflaRx. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

InflaRx NV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine InflaRx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for InflaRx using various technical indicators. When you analyze InflaRx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the InflaRx NV's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
13 M
Current Value
6.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
35.7 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for InflaRx NV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of InflaRx NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

InflaRx NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of InflaRx NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InflaRx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InflaRx NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InflaRx NV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InflaRx NVInflaRx NV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InflaRx NV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InflaRx NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InflaRx NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered InflaRx NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.07
0.97
Expected Value
8.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InflaRx NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InflaRx NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0511
SAESum of the absolute errors3.8834
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of InflaRx NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict InflaRx NV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for InflaRx NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InflaRx NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.078.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.018.55
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3610.2911.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.25-0.16-0.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for InflaRx NV

For every potential investor in InflaRx, whether a beginner or expert, InflaRx NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InflaRx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InflaRx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InflaRx NV's price trends.

InflaRx NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InflaRx NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InflaRx NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InflaRx NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InflaRx NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of InflaRx NV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of InflaRx NV's current price.

InflaRx NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InflaRx NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InflaRx NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InflaRx NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InflaRx NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InflaRx NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of InflaRx NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InflaRx NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inflarx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for InflaRx Stock Analysis

When running InflaRx NV's price analysis, check to measure InflaRx NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InflaRx NV is operating at the current time. Most of InflaRx NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InflaRx NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InflaRx NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InflaRx NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.