India Globalization Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| IGC Stock | USD 0.36 0.01 2.86% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of India Globalization Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60. India Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast India Globalization stock prices and determine the direction of India Globalization Capital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of India Globalization's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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India Globalization Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of India Globalization Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict India Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that India Globalization's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
India Globalization Stock Forecast Pattern
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India Globalization Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting India Globalization's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. India Globalization's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.48, respectively. We have considered India Globalization's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of India Globalization stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent India Globalization stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0021 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0102 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0272 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.6044 |
Predictive Modules for India Globalization
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as India Globalization. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for India Globalization
For every potential investor in India, whether a beginner or expert, India Globalization's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. India Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in India. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying India Globalization's price trends.India Globalization Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with India Globalization stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of India Globalization could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing India Globalization by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
India Globalization Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of India Globalization's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of India Globalization's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
India Globalization Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how India Globalization stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading India Globalization shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying India Globalization stock market strength indicators, traders can identify India Globalization Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
India Globalization Risk Indicators
The analysis of India Globalization's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in India Globalization's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting india stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Variance | 16.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether India Globalization offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of India Globalization's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of India Globalization Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on India Globalization Capital Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of India Globalization to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of India Globalization. If investors know India will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about India Globalization listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share 0.017 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.51) | Return On Assets (0.48) | Return On Equity (1.26) |
The market value of India Globalization is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of India that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of India Globalization's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is India Globalization's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because India Globalization's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect India Globalization's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between India Globalization's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if India Globalization is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, India Globalization's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.