International Game Stock Forward View

IGTDelisted Stock  USD 16.41  0.12  0.73%   
International Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of International Game's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of International Game's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Game Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using International Game hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Game Technology from the perspective of International Game response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Game Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.16.

International Game after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

International Game Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for International Game is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of International Game Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

International Game Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Game Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Game's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

International Game Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest International Game  International Game Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Game stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Game stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.316
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4944
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0319
SAESum of the absolute errors30.1555
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of International Game Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict International Game. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for International Game

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Game. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4116.4116.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7713.7718.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6316.2921.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International Game. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International Game's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International Game's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in International Game.

International Game After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of International Game at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Game or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Game, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

International Game Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting International Game's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Game's historical news coverage. International Game's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.41 and 16.41, respectively. We have considered International Game's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.41
16.41
After-hype Price
16.41
Upside
International Game is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Game is based on 3 months time horizon.

International Game Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Game is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Game backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Game, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.41
16.41
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

International Game Hype Timeline

On the 21st of February International Game is traded for 16.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. International is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on International Game is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.41. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. International Game has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2025. The firm had 4:1 split on the 3rd of July 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

International Game Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to International Game's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Game's future price movements. Getting to know how International Game's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Game may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PTVEPactiv Evergreen 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.46 (0.22) 1.65 
PRKSUnited Parks Resorts 1.05 10 per month 2.42  0.04  4.60 (4.04) 16.62 
LNWLight Wonder(2.01)8 per month 1.62  0.07  3.55 (2.94) 14.31 
EVRIEveri Holdings 0.01 7 per month 0.23 (0.02) 0.73 (0.36) 2.10 
FUNSix Flags Entertainment(0.25)10 per month 3.17  0.09  7.14 (5.72) 16.17 
DSEYDiversey Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MODGTopgolf Callaway Brands 0.05 8 per month 2.56  0.20  8.81 (3.96) 23.39 
PLYAPlaya Hotels Resorts 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.37) 0.23 (0.15) 0.98 
NGMSNeogames SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MLKNMillerKnoll 5.51 24 per month 1.36  0.25  4.63 (3.16) 12.01 

International Game Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Game stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Game could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Game by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

International Game Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Game stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Game shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Game stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Game Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

International Game Risk Indicators

The analysis of International Game's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Game's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for International Game

The number of cover stories for International Game depends on current market conditions and International Game's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Game is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Game's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

International Game Short Properties

International Game's future price predictability will typically decrease when International Game's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Game Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Game's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Game's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding204 M
Cash And Short Term Investments584 M
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in International Stock

If you are still planning to invest in International Game check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the International Game's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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