Six Flags Entertainment Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 43.67 45.88 48.09 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 41.21 43.42 45.63 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 43.95 48.30 53.61 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.18 0.28 0.47 Details

Six Flags After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Six Flags Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Six Flags Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.10	2.22	0.01	0.03	6 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 6 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
45.43	45.42	0.02	2,018   Notes

Six Flags Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Six Flags Entertainment is traded for 45.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Six is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Six Flags is about 685.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.46. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2024. Six Flags Entertainment had 2:1 split on the 18th of November 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Six Flags Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Six Flags Related Hype Analysis

Six Flags Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Six price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Six using various technical indicators. When you analyze Six charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Six Flags stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Six Flags Entertainment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Six Flags based on analysis of Six Flags hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Six Flags depends on current market conditions and Six Flags' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Six Flags is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Six Flags' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Six Flags' future price predictability will typically decrease when Six Flags' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Six Flags Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Six Flags' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Six Flags' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Six Flags Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Six Flags. If investors know Six will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Six Flags listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Six Flags Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Six that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Six Flags' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Six Flags' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Six Flags' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Six Flags' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Six Flags' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Six Flags is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Six Flags' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.